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Consumer sector

TFC

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Trang
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
46.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
58.466
Current
46.500
Gap
+25.7%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
42.42%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.97%
x
D/(D+E)
57.58%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.13%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF62.81B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
62.81B
Growth Rate
4.13%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
58.466
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TFC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

46
Weak
Accrual Quality
60
Cash Conversion
32
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
23
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.10
Moderate
DSRI
0.719
GMI
1.065
AQI
0.992
SGI
1.136
DEPI
0.930
SGAI
1.133
TATA
0.101
LVGI
0.853

The Beneish M-Score of -2.0987 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 46.4/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue quality, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 46.4/100, with cash conversion at only 32.1/100, suggests potential issues with the reliability of earnings.
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 indicates that revenue recognition practices may be aggressive or misleading.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.0987 is below the threshold, suggesting a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with the top four shareholders holding over 68% of shares, poses a risk of governance issues and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in decision-making processes.

Recommendation

Investors should conduct further due diligence on revenue recognition practices and monitor cash flow closely. Consider a cautious approach to investment until earnings quality improves.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.46
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-1.34
Negative
Composite
35
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-29.4%
Volatility
45.6%
Max Drawdown
-49.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
4.69P/E
P/B1.50
P/S0.76
ROE37.7%
ROA17.7%
EPS10198.63
BVPS30987.67
Gross Margin27.1%
Net Margin16.7%
D/E0.96
Current Ratio1.58
Rev Growth13.2%
Profit Growth6.3%
EV/EBITDA5.22
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
16.8M
Charter Capital
168.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Thực phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TFC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
David Hồ
Indiv
22.9%
3.9 trieu
nguyen-minh-nguyet
Indiv
22.0%
3.7 trieu
Hồ Văn Trung
Indiv
16.0%
2.7 trieu
Đỗ Thành Trung
Indiv
7.0%
1.2 trieu
Susan Ho
Indiv
5.9%
1.0 trieu
Huỳnh Khánh Hiếu
Indiv
4.2%
700.000
Nguyễn Minh Tâm
Indiv
3.1%
525.000
Vũ Thị Minh Chiến
Indiv
1.5%
244.000
Trương Văn Quang
Indiv
0.2%
33.550
Lê Thị Tường Hạnh
Indiv
0.1%
21.650
Board & Management
David Hồ22.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Minh Nguyệt22.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hồ Văn Trung16.0%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Khánh Hiếu4.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Minh Tâm3.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Thị Minh Chiến1.5%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trương Văn Quang0.2%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Lê Thị Tường Hạnh0.1%
Kế toán trưởng
Võ Thiên Chương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Brian Shane Viccar
Giám đốc Kỹ thuật
Nguyễn Quang Vinh
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Trần Thanh Hương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trương Thị Huỳnh Như
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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