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Consumer sector

MDA

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Môi trường Đô thị Đông Anh
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhCT
5.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
29.715
Current
5.300
Gap
+460.7%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.50%
Ke
11.50%
x
E/(D+E)
45.21%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.33%
x
D/(D+E)
54.79%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend6.54%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF2.19B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
2.19B
Growth Rate
6.54%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
29.715
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MDA

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

28
Poor
Accrual Quality
59
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
60
Margin Stability
9
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.69
Elevated
DSRI
1.092
GMI
1.095
AQI
1.128
SGI
1.133
DEPI
0.880
SGAI
0.907
TATA
0.104
LVGI
1.010

MDA exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -1.69, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 28.1/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 28.1/100 indicates significant issues with cash conversion (0.0/100) and revenue recognition (0.0/100), suggesting potential overstatement of earnings.
  • DSRI of 1.0917 and SGI of 1.1333 indicate that inventory and sales growth are not aligned, which could signal inventory accumulation or sales manipulation.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.69 suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation compared to the threshold, indicating some level of earnings integrity.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Công ty TNHH MTV Môi Trường Đô Thị Hà Nội (51.0%) indicates a strong influence from a state-owned enterprise, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor MDA's cash flow and revenue recognition practices, and consider a cautious approach until improvements in earnings quality metrics are observed.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.56
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-1.09
Negative
Composite
50
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.0%
Volatility
82.5%
Max Drawdown
-39.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
4.23P/E
P/B0.42
P/S0.13
ROE10.5%
ROA4.8%
EPS2057.37
BVPS20590.85
Gross Margin16.0%
Net Margin3.0%
D/E1.21
Current Ratio1.58
Rev Growth13.3%
Profit Growth12.6%
EV/EBITDA2.66
Div Yield3.4%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
1.2M
Charter Capital
12.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Chất thải & Môi trường
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MDA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH MTV Môi Trường Đô Thị Hà Nội
Inst
51.0%
612.000
Dương Mạnh Lương
Indiv
19.7%
236.000
Nguyễn Tiến Đông
Indiv
3.3%
39.600
Nguyễn Thạch Tụy
Indiv
2.4%
28.500
Đào Đình Đức
Indiv
1.1%
13.600
Chử Thị Thùy
Indiv
0.3%
3.700
Ngô Chinh Lâm
Indiv
0.3%
3.700
Văn Thị Yến
Indiv
0.3%
3.300
Phạm Ngọc Tùng
Indiv
0.3%
3.100
Võ Thanh Hoa
Indiv
0.2%
2.700
Cao Thị Huyền
Indiv
0.2%
2.200
Board & Management
Nguyễn Tiến Đông3.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thạch Tụy2.4%
Kế toán trưởng
Đào Đình Đức1.1%
Phó Giám đốc
Phạm Ngọc Tùng0.3%
Phó Giám đốc
Cao Thị Huyền0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Thị Hiến
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Trường Linh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Mạnh Hùng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Minh Đức
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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