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Consumer sector

KSD

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư DNA
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng gia dụngCT
4.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
21.030
Current
4.100
Gap
+412.9%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
91.63%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.36%
x
D/(D+E)
8.37%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF13.34B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
13.34B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
21.030
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — KSD

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

49
Weak
Accrual Quality
66
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
2
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
44

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2017

-1.81
Moderate
DSRI
1.247
GMI
1.555
AQI
0.606
SGI
1.089
DEPI
0.954
SGAI
0.967
TATA
0.024
LVGI
0.631

KSD exhibits several indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -1.8059, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Despite a decent earnings quality score of 66.2, the company's revenue recognition metrics are concerning, with an alarming score of 0.0/100 for revenue quality.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.8059 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 raises significant concerns about the reliability of reported revenues.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings quality score of 66.2/100 suggests reasonable overall earnings quality, particularly with a high accrual score of 90.3/100.
  • Strong receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with the top five shareholders holding 89.2% of the company, raises concerns about governance and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in decision-making processes.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly regarding revenue recognition practices, before considering an investment in KSD.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.26
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.23
Negative
Composite
57
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-4.1%
Volatility
82.4%
Max Drawdown
-49.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
77.79P/E
P/B0.47
P/S1.70
ROE0.6%
ROA0.5%
EPS60.42
BVPS10078.45
Gross Margin8.9%
Net Margin2.2%
D/E0.17
Current Ratio3.77
Rev Growth-29.6%
Profit Growth201.6%
EV/EBITDA45.83
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
12.0M
Charter Capital
120.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng gia dụng
Sub-industry
Đồ gia dụng lâu bền
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for KSD — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Bùi Việt Vương
Indiv
25.0%
3.0 trieu
Fu Jianmu
Indiv
24.6%
3.0 trieu
Vũ Phong
Indiv
9.8%
1.2 trieu
Nguyễn Trọng Bách
Indiv
9.8%
1.2 trieu
nguyen-viet-dung
Indiv
9.8%
1.2 trieu
Hoàng Thị Yến
Indiv
9.0%
1.1 trieu
Đàm Thị Ái Len
Indiv
8.0%
962.000
Nguyễn Hồng Tuấn
Indiv
7.7%
925.700
nguyen-thanh-binh
Indiv
4.9%
592.009
Trương Duy Thắng
Indiv
1.7%
202.020
Nguyễn Thị Hằng Hải
Indiv
1.0%
121.100
Nguyễn Đức Đạo
Indiv
0.9%
112.200
Trần Thị Ly Na
Indiv
0.5%
65.000
Board & Management
Bùi Việt Vương25.0%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Fu Jianmu24.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đàm Thị Ái Len8.0%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hồng Tuân7.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Hằng Hải1.0%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Thị Loan
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Tùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
PHẠM THỊ XUÂN HƯƠNG
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Hòa Nguyễn
Phó Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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