MTL
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MTL
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2024
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2024
MTL exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.586, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 59.9/100, coupled with a concerning revenue quality score of 0.0/100, suggests potential issues in revenue recognition and overall earnings sustainability.
- Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 indicates severe concerns regarding revenue recognition practices.
- Earnings quality score of 59.9/100 suggests below-average earnings quality, particularly with a low eq_margin of 6.8/100.
- Beneish M-Score of -2.586 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, providing some reassurance to investors.
- High eq_accrual score of 98.6/100 suggests strong accrual quality, indicating that reported earnings are closely aligned with cash flows.
The ownership structure is highly concentrated, with 85.2% held by state-related entities, which may limit minority shareholder influence and raise concerns about governance practices.
Investors should closely monitor MTL's revenue recognition practices and earnings quality metrics. Given the elevated risk level, a cautious approach is recommended, potentially waiting for improved earnings quality indicators before making significant investments.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for MTL — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate