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Construction sector

GND

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Gạch ngói Đồng Nai
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
33.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
39.971
Current
33.600
Gap
+19.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
75.97%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.37%
x
D/(D+E)
24.03%
=
WACC
10.80%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
40.014
50%DCF Value
39.928
Blended Intrinsic
39.971
Value Decomposition
38%
62%
Explicit period (38%)Terminal value (62%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — GND

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

63
Fair
Accrual Quality
89
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
36
Margin Stability
57
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.17
Moderate
DSRI
1.373
GMI
1.153
AQI
0.964
SGI
1.031
DEPI
0.828
SGAI
1.071
TATA
-0.028
LVGI
0.884

GND exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -2.1675, which suggests a risk of financial misrepresentation. Despite this, the company's earnings quality score of 63.0 indicates a moderate level of earnings reliability, particularly in cash conversion metrics.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.1675 indicates potential earnings manipulation, exceeding the threshold of -1.78.
  • Receivables quality score of 36.4/100 suggests significant issues in revenue recognition and collection efficiency.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings quality cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow generation relative to reported earnings.
  • Accrual quality score of 88.8/100 reflects a relatively low level of earnings management through accruals.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is highly concentrated, with the top five shareholders holding over 54% of the company, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly regarding revenue recognition practices, while monitoring cash flow performance as a positive indicator.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.09
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.04
Negative
Composite
49
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-8.8%
Volatility
135.5%
Max Drawdown
-45.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
10.78P/E
P/B0.65
P/S0.88
ROE6.1%
ROA4.7%
EPS2319.67
BVPS38292.63
Gross Margin22.9%
Net Margin8.2%
D/E0.27
Current Ratio3.75
Rev Growth3.1%
Profit Growth-39.5%
EV/EBITDA8.45
Div Yield8.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
9.0M
Charter Capital
90.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for GND — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Đức Hoàng
Indiv
16.6%
1.5 trieu
Nguyễn Đức Dũng
Indiv
13.4%
1.2 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Kim Liên
Indiv
10.5%
943.250
Nguyễn Hoàng Hải
Indiv
7.5%
675.000
nguyen-anh-tu
Indiv
6.0%
541.900
Nguyễn Hoàng Linh
Indiv
5.6%
502.300
Bùi Thị Chiêm
Indiv
4.6%
411.350
Nguyễn Đức Thắng
Indiv
3.8%
340.710
Bùi Thanh Trà
Indiv
1.0%
59.300
nguyen-van-vinh
Indiv
0.6%
50.000
Võ Đình Thanh Thuyên
Indiv
0.2%
14.800
Board & Management
Nguyễn Đức Hoàng16.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đức Dũng13.4%
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hoàng Hải7.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hoàng Linh5.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Thị Chiêm4.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Văn Vinh0.6%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Võ Đình Thanh Thuyên0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Quang Tuyến
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Minh Đức
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Hữu Thăng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Hồng Tuấn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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