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Consumer sector

MLS

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Chăn nuôi - Mitraco
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
20.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
17.752
Current
20.900
Gap
-15.1%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
30.66%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
69.34%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF5.09B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
5.09B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
17.752
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MLS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

55
Fair
Accrual Quality
78
Cash Conversion
60
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2016

-2.25
Moderate
DSRI
0.554
GMI
1.103
AQI
1.266
SGI
1.397
DEPI
0.737
SGAI
0.743
TATA
0.018
LVGI
0.910

The Beneish M-Score of -2.2476 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant concerns, particularly the low receivables quality score of 1.1/100, suggesting potential issues in revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Low receivables quality score of 1.1/100 indicates potential issues with revenue recognition.
  • SGI of 1.3968 suggests aggressive growth that may not be sustainable.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 64.2/100 reflects a reasonable level of earnings quality.
  • Strong accrual quality score of 92.9/100 indicates effective management of accruals.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership of 51.3% by Tổng Công ty Khoáng sản và Thương mại Hà Tĩnh suggests potential influence over company decisions, which could lead to conflicts of interest or lack of minority shareholder protection.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of high growth rates. It may be prudent to engage in further due diligence regarding the company's financial reporting and governance structures.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.84
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.48
Positive
Composite
58
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+50.7%
Volatility
41.1%
Max Drawdown
-43.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
2.69P/E
P/B1.93
P/S0.21
ROE111.6%
ROA23.7%
EPS7526.02
BVPS10505.19
Gross Margin10.5%
Net Margin7.7%
D/E2.26
Current Ratio1.20
Rev Growth12.6%
Profit Growth188.8%
EV/EBITDA2.51
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
4.0M
Charter Capital
40.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Nuôi trồng nông & hải sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MLS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Khoáng sản và Thương mại Hà Tĩnh
Inst
51.3%
2.1 trieu
Lê Văn Nhị
Indiv
0.6%
24.700
Nguyễn Đình Sơn
Indiv
0.2%
6.800
Phan Thành Nam
Indiv
0.2%
6.400
Board & Management
Nguyễn Đình Lục
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Hồng Vân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hồ Văn Hưng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hồng Hợp
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Hồ Sỹ Huy Thảo
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Thị Hoa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Phùng Văn Tân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Văn Minh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Hòa
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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