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Utilities sector

NBT

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp thoát nước Bến Tre
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
16.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
15.062
Current
16.700
Gap
-9.8%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend5.69%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS700
Payout ratio36.3%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
700
Base Growth
5.69%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
15.062
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NBT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

81
Good
Accrual Quality
84
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
18

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

-0.82
High Risk
DSRI
1.215
GMI
1.059
AQI
4.253
SGI
0.986
DEPI
1.079
SGAI
0.973
TATA
0.016
LVGI
0.866

NBT exhibits a moderate risk profile with a Beneish M-Score of -0.8179, indicating no immediate signs of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 60.0/100, particularly low receivables quality at 47.6/100, raises concerns about revenue recognition practices.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality score of 60.0/100, with receivables quality at 47.6/100, suggests potential issues in revenue recognition.
  • Beneish M-Score of -0.8179 is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a need for caution despite not signaling outright manipulation.
Positive Signals
  • Strong accrual quality score of 93.7/100 indicates good earnings sustainability.
  • Ownership by the state (64.0%) may provide stability and support for operational strategies.
Ownership Risk

The high state ownership (64.0%) could lead to potential conflicts of interest and influence on financial reporting, but it may also provide a buffer against volatility.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor receivables and revenue recognition practices while considering the stability offered by significant state ownership. Conduct further due diligence on operational performance and cash flow management.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
5.58
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.11
Negative
Composite
61
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+3.7%
Volatility
44.4%
Max Drawdown
-17.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.03P/E
P/B1.12
P/S2.13
ROE12.4%
ROA10.6%
EPS1938.94
BVPS15601.34
Gross Margin66.2%
Net Margin23.6%
D/E0.15
Current Ratio2.19
Rev Growth-0.2%
Profit Growth-1.3%
EV/EBITDA5.05
Div Yield2.9%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
29.4M
Charter Capital
294.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NBT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Bến Tre
State
64.0%
18.8 trieu
Công ty CP Cấp Thoát Nước Thủy Anh
Inst
17.4%
5.1 trieu
Công ty TNHH Hoàn Cầu
Inst
15.0%
4.4 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Diễm Phượng
Indiv
0.1%
37.590
Lê Thị Hồng Thắm
Indiv
0.1%
31.950
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thị Diễm Phượng0.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Thị Thiên Trang
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Văn Phong
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thanh Bình
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Kỹ thuật/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Lưu Văn Khanh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Phan Thanh Bình
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Kinh doanh
NGUYỄN THỊ KIM PHƯỢNG
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Thị Hồng Vân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phan Đình Tân
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Đình Huấn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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