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Utilities sector

BDW

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp thoát nước Bình Định
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
27.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
23.997
Current
27.000
Gap
-11.1%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend6.08%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS1.100
Payout ratio34.4%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
1.100
Base Growth
6.08%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
23.997
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BDW

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

76
Good
Accrual Quality
59
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
51
Revenue Quality
69

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

-3.14
Low Risk
DSRI
0.791
GMI
0.921
AQI
0.591
SGI
1.049
DEPI
1.005
SGAI
1.058
TATA
-0.067
LVGI
0.959

BDW's Beneish M-Score of -3.1442 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 73.8 suggests some areas of concern, particularly in revenue and margin metrics.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality margin score at 48.0/100 and revenue score at 47.8/100 indicate potential issues with profitability and revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Strong cash conversion score of 100.0/100 suggests that the company is effectively converting earnings into cash, which is a positive signal for liquidity.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership, with 51.0% held by Quỹ Đầu tư Phát triển Tỉnh Gia Lai, poses a risk of governance issues and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in decision-making processes.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor BDW's revenue and margin performance closely while considering the strong cash conversion as a mitigating factor. A deeper analysis of governance practices is advisable given the concentrated ownership structure.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
2.36
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.08
Positive
Composite
64
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+19.3%
Volatility
95.7%
Max Drawdown
-27.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.81P/E
P/B1.53
P/S1.08
ROE13.9%
ROA8.3%
EPS3064.44
BVPS17637.86
Gross Margin33.7%
Net Margin12.2%
D/E0.58
Current Ratio1.05
Rev Growth8.9%
Profit Growth5.9%
EV/EBITDA3.14
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
12.4M
Charter Capital
124.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BDW — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Quỹ Đầu tư Phát triển Tỉnh Gia Lai
Inst
51.0%
6.3 trieu
Công ty CP Cấp Thoát Nước Thủy Anh
Inst
24.9%
3.1 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Kim Phượng
Indiv
9.5%
1.2 trieu
Ngô Thị Hồng Vân
Indiv
4.0%
496.000
Board & Management
Ngô Thị Hồng Vân4.0%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Tiến Dũng
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Châu
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Nguyễn Hạnh Lan
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thanh Cường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Đặng Hoàng Trung
Kế toán trưởng
Phan Đình Tân
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hà Phú Cường
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Dương Tiến Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Thị Giao
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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