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Utilities sector

LDW

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp thoát nước Lâm Đồng
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
28.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
10.096
Current
28.000
Gap
-63.9%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend3.35%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS510
Payout ratio46.5%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
510
Base Growth
3.35%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
10.096
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — LDW

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

62
Fair
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
37
Receivables
99
Margin Stability
66
Revenue Quality
25

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

-2.72
Low Risk
DSRI
0.771
GMI
0.976
AQI
1.169
SGI
0.990
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
0.906
TATA
0.003
LVGI
0.966

LDW exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.7185, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics show weaknesses, particularly in profit margins, which could signal operational inefficiencies.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 71.1/100 suggests potential concerns, especially with an eq_margin of only 14.2/100.
  • The DSRI of 0.7707 indicates a decrease in receivables relative to sales, which may suggest aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • The eq_accrual score of 98.9/100 indicates strong accrual quality, suggesting that reported earnings are backed by cash flows.
  • Ownership by state entities at 80% could imply stability and support from government mandates.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by state entities (80%) may limit shareholder influence and transparency, posing risks related to governance and decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor LDW's operational performance closely, particularly its profit margins, while considering the stability provided by state ownership as a mitigating factor.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
6.12
Safe Zone
Sharpe
1.34
Excellent
Composite
53
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+40.0%
Volatility
71.5%
Max Drawdown
-14.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
27.42P/E
P/B2.27
P/S6.90
ROE8.3%
ROA6.8%
EPS1021.29
BVPS12326.18
Gross Margin27.1%
Net Margin25.2%
D/E0.21
Current Ratio1.41
Rev Growth-0.0%
Profit Growth-19.3%
EV/EBITDA22.38
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
78.8M
Charter Capital
788.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for LDW — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Quản Lý Vốn Nhà Nước Tại Doanh Nghiệp
State
40.0%
31.5 trieu
Tổng Công ty Đầu Tư Và Kinh Doanh Vốn Nhà Nước
State
40.0%
31.5 trieu
Công ty CP Cấp Thoát Nước Thủy Anh
Inst
15.9%
12.5 trieu
Công ty TNHH Dịch Vụ Và Thương Mại Mesa
Inst
13.6%
10.7 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Golden Stream
Inst
11.4%
9.0 trieu
Board & Management
Võ Quang Tuân
Giám đốc
Trần Thị Thủy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Văn Thuận
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Dương Tiến Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Dũng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Quốc Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Đình Tân
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hùng Cường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Mỹ Vân
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Hoàng Trường Vĩ
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
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