NDC
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NDC
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2024
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2024
NDC exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.6276, indicating a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant concerns, particularly with a revenue quality score of 0.0/100, which raises questions about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 indicates potential issues with revenue recognition.
- SGI of 1.1438 suggests aggressive growth that may not be supported by underlying fundamentals.
- Earnings Quality Score of 78.9/100 indicates generally strong earnings quality.
- High eq_cash_conv of 96.8/100 suggests good cash conversion from earnings.
The top shareholders include significant individual and institutional stakes, with the largest shareholder holding 23.8%. This concentration of ownership may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.
Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider a deeper analysis of cash flows before making investment decisions. It may be prudent to wait for clearer signals of sustainable growth before increasing exposure to NDC.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for NDC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate