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Construction sector

LUT

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Xây dựng Lương Tài
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.527
Current
500
Gap
+500.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
22.67%
+
Kd(1-t)
3.90%
x
D/(D+E)
77.33%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
12.906
50%DCF Value
-1.853
Blended Intrinsic
5.527
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — LUT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2023

52
Fair
Accrual Quality
98
Cash Conversion
2
Revenue Quality
59

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2021

-2.03
Moderate
DSRI
1.848
GMI
1.394
AQI
2.384
SGI
0.312
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
2.975
TATA
-0.011
LVGI
0.923

LUT exhibits several concerning financial metrics, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.028, indicating a potential for earnings manipulation. The earnings quality score of 51.2/100, coupled with low scores in receivables and revenue metrics, raises further concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.028, indicating potential earnings manipulation as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
  • DSRI at 1.8478 suggests significant increases in receivables relative to sales, which could indicate aggressive revenue recognition.
  • SGAI at 2.9752 indicates that sales growth is outpacing general and administrative expenses, which may not be sustainable.
Positive Signals
  • High accrual quality score of 95.5/100 suggests that earnings are being recognized in a manner consistent with cash flows.
  • Cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow generation relative to earnings, which is a positive sign.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the top shareholder holding 29.0%. This concentration can lead to governance risks, as decisions may favor the interests of a few individuals over minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should approach LUT with caution, closely monitoring future earnings reports and cash flow statements. It may be prudent to wait for clearer signals of financial stability and governance improvements before considering an investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-0.05
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.36
Negative
Composite
53
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-20.0%
Volatility
153.8%
Max Drawdown
-68.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2023
-3.75P/E
P/B0.08
P/S0.00
ROE-2.2%
ROA-0.5%
EPS-160.09
BVPS7088.60
D/E3.50
Current Ratio1.13
Rev Growth-100.0%
Profit Growth96.8%
EV/EBITDA44.44
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
15.0M
Charter Capital
150.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for LUT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Bùi Đình Hưng
Indiv
29.0%
4.3 trieu
Đinh Anh Kiệt
Indiv
4.6%
692.870
Huỳnh Hoàng Hương
Indiv
4.6%
690.000
nguyen-thi-hong
Indiv
3.6%
542.500
Đặng Thanh Qui
Indiv
3.6%
540.000
Nguyễn Văn Giang
Indiv
3.6%
537.600
Phạm Đức Trí
Indiv
2.2%
330.000
Bành Trường Giang
Indiv
2.2%
330.000
Tổng Công ty Xây Dựng Công Trình Giao Thông 6
Inst
2.2%
330.000
Nguyễn Như Trực
Indiv
0.7%
100.000
Huỳnh Thị Thanh Phương
Indiv
0.2%
30.000
Đỗ Khắc Công
Indiv
0.1%
15.000
Board & Management
Bùi Đình Hưng29.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Anh Tuấn
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Bích Quyên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Từ Thị Hiển
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Như Tha
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Thị Thu Hà
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Hân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Đình Hải
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Mai Uyên Phương
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Vũ Thị Thứ
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Ngọc Linh
Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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