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Technology sector

ODE

Technology
Công ty cổ phần Tập đoàn Truyền thông và Giải trí ODE
Truyền thôngCT
44.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
12.529
Current
44.300
Gap
-71.7%
ModelDCF PE BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTTechnology
Defaulted to technology (no specific sector mapping found)
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
77.81%
+
Kd(1-t)
4.91%
x
D/(D+E)
22.19%
=
WACC
11.67%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default8.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E16x
4
Valuation
60%DCF Value
20.114
40%P/E Value
1.151
Blended Intrinsic
12.529
Value Decomposition
47%
53%
Explicit period (47%)Terminal value (53%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — ODE

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

44
Weak
Accrual Quality
71
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
5

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.79
Low Risk
DSRI
1.658
GMI
1.012
AQI
0.274
SGI
0.626
DEPI
0.884
SGAI
1.388
TATA
-0.072
LVGI
0.638

ODE exhibits several red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.7944, which is significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The Earnings Quality Score of 43.5/100, coupled with low scores in receivables and revenue metrics, suggests concerns regarding the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.7944 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 43.5/100 reflects weak earnings quality, particularly with receivables and revenue metrics at 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • Cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow relative to earnings.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented, with no single shareholder holding a significant controlling stake, which may lead to governance challenges and misalignment of interests among shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow sustainability and the company's governance practices before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
13.95
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.09
Negative
Composite
32
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+4.7%
Volatility
6.5%
Max Drawdown
-2.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
642.22P/E
P/B3.56
P/S8.51
ROE0.6%
ROA0.5%
EPS71.96
BVPS12979.91
Gross Margin20.0%
Net Margin1.3%
D/E0.16
Current Ratio6.47
Rev Growth-37.4%
Profit Growth-78.6%
EV/EBITDA-262.58
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.0M
Charter Capital
100.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Truyền thông
Industry (ICB L3)
Truyền thông
Sub-industry
Giải trí & Truyền thông
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for ODE — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ Phần Sunshine Sky Villa
Inst
5.0%
500.000
Hoàng Thị Mỹ Bình
Indiv
5.0%
500.000
nguyen-dinh-duc
Indiv
4.3%
425.000
Đinh Chí Hiếu
Indiv
1.5%
150.000
Trần Ngọc Minh
Indiv
0.3%
30.000
Lê Thị Trà Mi
Indiv
0.1%
10.000
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Minh
Indiv
0.1%
10.000
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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