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Real Estate sector

KSF

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Sunshine
Bất động sảnCT
83.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
110.956
Current
83.700
Gap
+32.6%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
33.46%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.32%
x
D/(D+E)
66.54%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
12.261
60%DCF Value
176.752
Blended Intrinsic
110.956
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — KSF

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

69
Fair
Accrual Quality
60
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
55
Revenue Quality
4

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

3.13
High Risk
DSRI
0.752
GMI
0.768
AQI
0.963
SGI
8.199
DEPI
1.165
SGAI
0.527
TATA
-0.099
LVGI
1.254

The Beneish M-Score of 3.1295 significantly exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a high likelihood of earnings manipulation. Additionally, the SGI of 8.1987 suggests aggressive revenue growth that may not be sustainable, raising concerns about the quality of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 3.1295 indicates likely earnings manipulation.
  • SGI of 8.1987 suggests unsustainable revenue growth.
  • Low eq_margin score of 55.1/100 raises concerns about profitability sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • High cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow relative to earnings.
  • Ownership concentration with Đỗ Anh Tuấn holding 61.4% may align interests but also raises governance concerns.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership with Đỗ Anh Tuấn holding 61.4% could lead to potential governance issues, as minority shareholders may have limited influence over corporate decisions.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence on KSF, particularly regarding revenue recognition practices and the sustainability of growth, before considering any investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.26
Distress Zone
Sharpe
1.33
Excellent
Composite
76
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+57.8%
Volatility
46.0%
Max Drawdown
-28.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.63P/E
P/B4.05
P/S3.53
ROE73.1%
ROA11.8%
EPS9210.86
BVPS19617.14
Gross Margin65.1%
Net Margin40.9%
D/E5.04
Current Ratio1.56
Rev Growth720.3%
Profit Growth1120.3%
EV/EBITDA7.64
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
899.8M
Charter Capital
8997.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for KSF — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Đỗ Anh Tuấn
Indiv
61.4%
552.7 trieu
Đỗ Thị Định
Indiv
4.2%
12.7 trieu
Đỗ Văn Trường
Indiv
4.0%
36.2 trieu
Đỗ Thị Hồng Nhung
Indiv
0.7%
6.2 trieu
Lê Hoàng Nam
Indiv
0.1%
443.720
Phan Ích Long
Indiv
0.1%
321.860
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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