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Construction sector

SAC

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Xếp dỡ và Dịch vụ cảng Sài Gòn
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
12.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
12.673
Current
12.300
Gap
+3.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
87.11%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.25%
x
D/(D+E)
12.89%
=
WACC
11.43%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
17.534
50%DCF Value
7.812
Blended Intrinsic
12.673
Value Decomposition
40%
60%
Explicit period (40%)Terminal value (60%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SAC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

74
Good
Accrual Quality
76
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
69
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2018

-1.16
High Risk
DSRI
1.965
GMI
1.445
AQI
0.407
SGI
1.029
DEPI
0.751
SGAI
0.820
TATA
0.086
LVGI
0.967

The Beneish M-Score of -1.1568 indicates that SAC is not likely to be manipulating earnings, as it is above the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 38.4/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 38.4/100 indicates poor earnings quality, particularly with cash conversion at 0.0/100.
  • High DSRI of 1.9647 suggests potential issues with inventory management, which could indicate overstatement of revenue.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.1568 is above the manipulation threshold, suggesting lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Công ty Cổ phần Cảng Sài Gòn, holds a significant 51.4% stake, indicating potential concentration risk and limited minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and inventory management practices, while considering a cautious approach due to the elevated risk of earnings quality issues.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
5.27
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.44
Negative
Composite
47
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-26.1%
Volatility
62.5%
Max Drawdown
-46.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
13.41P/E
P/B1.04
P/S0.49
ROE7.8%
ROA6.6%
EPS1155.48
BVPS11885.96
Gross Margin13.8%
Net Margin4.6%
D/E0.26
Current Ratio4.40
Rev Growth15.2%
Profit Growth24.8%
EV/EBITDA5.72
Div Yield7.1%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
4.0M
Charter Capital
40.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Kho bãi, hậu cần và bảo dưỡng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SAC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Cảng Sài Gòn
Inst
51.4%
2.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Vật tư Kỹ thuật Nông nghiệp Cần Thơ
Inst
5.0%
202.500
Công ty Cổ phần Vật tư Nông sản
Inst
5.0%
202.500
Đỗ Thanh Bình
Indiv
2.5%
100.000
Phan Minh Trí
Indiv
1.0%
41.500
Đỗ Kim Lộc
Indiv
0.3%
10.100
Trương Thu Hà
Indiv
0.1%
5.300
Nguyễn Anh Thành
Indiv
0.1%
5.100
Board & Management
Phan Minh Trí1.0%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Văn Hóa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Tâm
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Thành Trung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Minh Cường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Công Dân
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Tiến Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Ngọc Út
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Khánh Lâm
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đào Quyết Tiến
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hồ Thị Thanh Thanh
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Viết Thịnh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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