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Utilities sector

STW

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp nước Sóc Trăng
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
26.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
36.828
Current
26.000
Gap
+41.6%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend3.28%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS1.865
Payout ratio78.6%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
1.865
Base Growth
3.28%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
36.828
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — STW

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

57
Fair
Accrual Quality
88
Cash Conversion
48
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
10
Revenue Quality
37

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2017

-3.25
Low Risk
DSRI
1.516
GMI
0.913
AQI
0.389
SGI
1.101
DEPI
2.588
SGAI
1.126
TATA
-0.261
LVGI
0.945

The Beneish M-Score of -3.2493 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant concerns, particularly in accruals and receivables, which may suggest potential issues in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • DSRI of 1.5160 indicates that the company has a higher ratio of receivables to sales, which may signal aggressive revenue recognition practices.
  • Earnings quality score of 69.1/100 is decent, but an eq_accrual of 18.6/100 is alarmingly low, suggesting potential overstatement of earnings.
  • The DEPI of 2.5876 indicates that the company may be experiencing declining profitability, which could pressure future earnings.
Positive Signals
  • The eq_cash_conv score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash conversion, suggesting that the company is able to convert its earnings into cash effectively.
  • SGI of 1.1006 shows that the company is experiencing sales growth, which is a positive indicator in the context of market expansion.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with 49.0% owned by local government entities, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and lack of accountability. This concentration could also pose risks related to political influence on corporate governance.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor the company's financial reporting practices and consider the implications of its ownership structure. A cautious approach is advised, focusing on cash flow performance and potential changes in governance.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
8.59
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.31
Negative
Composite
60
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+11.4%
Volatility
80.9%
Max Drawdown
-46.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
19.26P/E
P/B1.73
P/S1.86
ROE8.4%
ROA7.3%
EPS1349.83
BVPS15038.07
Gross Margin40.9%
Net Margin9.7%
D/E0.16
Current Ratio3.44
Rev Growth0.5%
Profit Growth-47.8%
EV/EBITDA6.40
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
15.9M
Charter Capital
158.6B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for STW — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Sóc Trăng
Indiv
49.0%
7.8 trieu
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Thành Phố Cần Thơ
State
49.0%
7.8 trieu
Công ty CP Vbic Việt Nam
Inst
24.0%
3.8 trieu
Nghiêm Thị Lệ Hằng
Indiv
16.5%
2.6 trieu
Nguyễn Minh Phương
Indiv
4.0%
637.301
Đặng Như Ý
Indiv
1.4%
218.000
Trần Thanh Nhàn
Indiv
0.3%
43.900
Board & Management
Ong Hải Phước
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đặng Văn Ngọ
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Anh Hòa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Anh Hiền
Giám đốc Chi nhánh
Võ Thị Phương Diệu
Kế toán trưởng
Thân Hương Lan
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Quang Mãi
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Liễu Thu Trúc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phan Vĩnh Tùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Tiến Bộ
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Trọng Hiếu
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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