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Consumer sector

DKC

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Chợ Lạng Sơn
Bán lẻCT
100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
11.679
Current
100
Gap
+500.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTBán lẻConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Bán lẻ" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
75.96%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.26%
x
D/(D+E)
24.04%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.68%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF794.91M
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
794.91M
Growth Rate
4.68%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
11.679
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DKC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

77
Good
Accrual Quality
97
Cash Conversion
87
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
69
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2017

-3.17
Low Risk
DSRI
0.607
GMI
0.989
AQI
0.985
SGI
1.059
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
0.963
TATA
-0.047
LVGI
1.122

DKC exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.1677, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the company's revenue quality score is alarmingly low at 0.0/100, which raises concerns about the sustainability of its revenue streams.

Red Flags
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 suggests potential issues with revenue recognition or reporting.
  • SGI of 1.0592 indicates a growth rate that may not be supported by underlying fundamentals.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 80.1/100 reflects strong overall earnings quality, particularly in cash conversion (100.0/100) and receivables (100.0/100).
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.1677 is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
Ownership Risk

The significant state ownership at 34.9% may lead to potential conflicts of interest and influence over corporate governance, but it also provides a level of stability and support.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices due to the concerning revenue quality score while considering the overall strong earnings quality metrics as a positive indicator.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.63
Distress Zone
Sharpe
1.65
Excellent
Composite
94
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+140.0%
Volatility
47.9%
Max Drawdown
0.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
0.06P/E
P/B0.01
P/S0.01
ROE13.4%
ROA10.2%
EPS1805.59
BVPS13514.02
Gross Margin43.4%
Net Margin22.4%
D/E0.32
Current Ratio3.16
Rev Growth4.7%
Profit Growth-23.8%
EV/EBITDA-2.21
Div Yield1100.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
2.3M
Charter Capital
22.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bán lẻ
Industry (ICB L3)
Bán lẻ
Sub-industry
Bán lẻ phức hợp
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DKC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Lạng Sơn
State
34.9%
797.975
Lê Thị Thu Hương
Indiv
15.9%
362.865
Trần Đình Trung
Indiv
7.0%
159.530
Nguyễn Tuyết Lan
Indiv
4.8%
110.000
Nguyễn Minh Phương
Indiv
4.3%
98.700
nguyen-quang-huy
Indiv
3.9%
90.000
Lâm Thị Hồng Thúy
Indiv
3.5%
80.125
nguyen-linh-chi
Indiv
3.5%
80.000
Lưu Thị Mùi
Indiv
0.6%
13.300
Đinh Thị Hảo
Indiv
0.3%
7.900
Nguyễn Thị Hợp
Indiv
0.3%
6.010
Nguyễn Văn Hà
Indiv
0.2%
4.200
Phan Anh Tuấn
Indiv
0.2%
3.580
Vi Thị Quế
Indiv
0.1%
2.230
Board & Management
Lê Thị Thu Hường15.9%
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Đình Trung7.0%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lâm Thị Hồng Thúy3.5%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Hợp0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Hà0.2%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Anh Tuấn0.2%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thu Phương
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Hòa
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Hoài Hương
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Đoàn Văn Thành
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hồng Phong
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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