CTW
UtilitiesValuation Breakdown
The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CTW
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
CTW exhibits several concerning financial metrics, particularly its Beneish M-Score of -2.0245, which suggests potential earnings manipulation. The earnings quality score of 43.1/100, driven down by poor receivables and revenue metrics, raises further concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Beneish M-Score of -2.0245 indicates potential manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
- Earnings quality score of 43.1/100, particularly low scores in receivables (0.0/100) and revenue (0.0/100), signal significant risks in revenue recognition and cash flow sustainability.
- High cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow relative to earnings.
- The presence of state ownership at 51.0% may provide some level of stability and support for the company's operations.
The significant state ownership (51.0%) may mitigate some risks associated with management practices, but the concentration of ownership among a few institutions could lead to governance issues and lack of transparency.
Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor CTW's financial disclosures and operational performance. Consider waiting for improved earnings quality metrics and a more favorable Beneish M-Score before making investment decisions.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
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> mapping common ownership for CTW — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate