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Construction sector

UDJ

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Đô thị
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
6.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
16.864
Current
6.600
Gap
+155.5%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
52.52%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.28%
x
D/(D+E)
47.48%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
10.503
50%DCF Value
23.225
Blended Intrinsic
16.864
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — UDJ

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

70
Good
Accrual Quality
79
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
38
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.23
Moderate
DSRI
0.681
GMI
1.605
AQI
1.077
SGI
1.421
DEPI
0.965
SGAI
0.684
TATA
-0.054
LVGI
0.934

UDJ exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.2266, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant concerns, particularly with a very low revenue quality score of 0.0/100, suggesting potential issues in revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality score of 0.0/100 for revenue indicates potential aggressive revenue recognition practices.
  • SGI of 1.4209 suggests high sales growth, which may not be sustainable given the low revenue quality.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.2266 is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • High cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow generation relative to earnings.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tập đoàn Đầu tư và Phát triển Công nghiệp Becamex (51.0%) may lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the sustainability of growth before making investment decisions. A thorough review of financial statements and cash flow projections is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.02
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.60
Negative
Composite
62
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-11.1%
Volatility
40.3%
Max Drawdown
-24.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
21.85P/E
P/B0.47
P/S1.78
ROE2.2%
ROA1.2%
EPS299.05
BVPS13787.00
Gross Margin20.0%
Net Margin8.1%
D/E0.80
Current Ratio2.12
Rev Growth42.1%
Profit Growth-27.2%
EV/EBITDA12.14
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
16.5M
Charter Capital
165.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for UDJ — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Đầu tư và Phát triển Công nghiệp Becamex
Inst
51.0%
8.4 trieu
Nguyen Susan Ha
Indiv
4.8%
787.200
Kiều Oanh
Indiv
0.3%
45.000
Dương Thị Hồng Tỵ
Indiv
0.2%
27.300
Nguyễn Minh Đồng
Indiv
0.1%
20.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Minh Đồng0.1%
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Hiền Phúc
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Đăng Khoa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thùy Dương
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Viết Yên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Thùy Dương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Huỳnh Thị Quế Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Huỳnh Gia Đạt
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Phạm Văn Khoa
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Hoàn Vũ
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Quảng Văn Viết Cương
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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