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Real Estate sector

IJC

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Hạ tầng Kỹ thuật
Bất động sảnCT
10.350
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
10.055
Current
10.350
Gap
-2.9%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
65.68%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.63%
x
D/(D+E)
34.32%
=
WACC
11.21%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.99%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
15.895
60%DCF Value
6.161
Blended Intrinsic
10.055
Value Decomposition
36%
64%
Explicit period (36%)Terminal value (64%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — IJC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

53
Fair
Accrual Quality
77
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
89
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.03
Moderate
DSRI
0.642
GMI
0.928
AQI
0.929
SGI
1.562
DEPI
0.971
SGAI
1.226
TATA
0.059
LVGI
0.646

IJC exhibits several concerning financial metrics, particularly in its earnings quality and Beneish M-Score, which suggests potential earnings manipulation. While the ownership structure is dominated by a major institutional investor, the overall financial health raises red flags that warrant caution.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.0266 indicates a low likelihood of manipulation, but the SGI of 1.5625 suggests aggressive revenue growth that may not be sustainable.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 52.5/100 is below average, with a concerning eq_cash_conv score of 0.0/100 indicating poor cash conversion from earnings.
Positive Signals
  • Strong receivables quality with an eq_receivables score of 100.0/100, indicating effective management of accounts receivable.
  • Significant institutional ownership with Tập đoàn Đầu tư và Phát triển Công nghiệp Becamex holding 49.8%, suggesting confidence from major investors.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by Tập đoàn Đầu tư và Phát triển Công nghiệp Becamex (49.8%) could lead to governance risks, as decisions may heavily favor this entity over minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor IJC's earnings quality metrics and revenue growth claims. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach until clearer signals of financial stability and transparency emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.87
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.46
Negative
Composite
42
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-7.3%
Volatility
30.0%
Max Drawdown
-33.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
12.95P/E
P/B0.84
P/S4.21
ROE7.9%
ROA5.7%
EPS822.10
BVPS12716.28
Gross Margin48.4%
Net Margin32.5%
D/E0.28
Current Ratio6.61
Rev Growth65.2%
Profit Growth46.2%
EV/EBITDA11.26
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
629.6M
Charter Capital
6295.8B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for IJC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Đầu tư và Phát triển Công nghiệp Becamex
Inst
49.8%
313.3 trieu
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
Inst
5.0%
13.6 trieu
VanEck Vietnam ETF
Inst
4.1%
11.1 trieu
Dragon Capital Vietnam Mother Fund
Inst
4.0%
11.1 trieu
Công ty TNHH Quản lý Quỹ Bảo Việt
Inst
3.4%
12.7 trieu
Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần Đầu tư và Phát triển Việt Nam
Inst
2.4%
6.7 trieu
Quỹ Đầu tư Giá trị Bảo Việt
Inst
1.5%
5.6 trieu
Dragon Capital
Inst
1.3%
3.6 trieu
Công ty TNHH Quản lý Quỹ đầu tư IPA Partner
Inst
0.7%
1.8 trieu
the blackhorse enhanced vietnam inc.
Inst
0.3%
825.000
Quỹ Đầu tư Cổ phiếu Triển vọng Bảo Việt
Inst
0.2%
600.000
Board & Management
Lê Thị Thùy Dương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Châu Thị Vân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trương Đức Hùng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hoàn Vũ
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thùy Dương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đỗ Quang Ngôn
Tổng Giám đốc
Võ Thị Huyền Trang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Bùi Thị Thùy
Kế toán trưởng
Trịnh Thanh Hùng
Giám đốc Tài chính/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Trần Ngọc Hiền
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Nguyên Thảo
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Quảng Văn Viết Cương
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Hiền Phúc
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Trần Thiện Thể
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Văn Hùng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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