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Technology sector

VGI

Technology
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Quốc tế Viettel
Viễn thông/Viễn thông di độngCT
94.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
67.823
Current
94.000
Gap
-27.9%
ModelDCF PE BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTTechnology
Defaulted to technology (no specific sector mapping found)
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
56.48%
+
Kd(1-t)
4.90%
x
D/(D+E)
43.52%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default8.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E16x
4
Valuation
60%DCF Value
80.364
40%P/E Value
49.012
Blended Intrinsic
67.823
Value Decomposition
39%
61%
Explicit period (39%)Terminal value (61%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VGI

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

79
Good
Accrual Quality
75
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
100

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.53
Low Risk
DSRI
0.674
GMI
0.988
AQI
1.772
SGI
1.249
DEPI
1.119
SGAI
0.839
TATA
-0.063
LVGI
1.090

VGI demonstrates a low risk of earnings manipulation as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -2.5346, significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The company's earnings quality score of 78.7/100, particularly high cash conversion and receivables metrics, further supports the integrity of its financial reporting.

Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.5346, indicating low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 78.7/100, with perfect scores in cash conversion and receivables.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with 99% held by Tập đoàn Công nghiệp - Viễn thông Quân đội, which may pose risks related to governance and minority shareholder rights.

Recommendation

Continue monitoring VGI for any changes in ownership structure or governance practices, but currently, the stock appears to be a stable investment given its strong earnings quality metrics.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
5.01
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.50
Positive
Composite
68
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+50.3%
Volatility
63.4%
Max Drawdown
-34.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
33.91P/E
P/B7.71
P/S7.16
ROE24.7%
ROA12.9%
EPS3063.27
BVPS13474.08
Gross Margin51.3%
Net Margin21.1%
D/E0.90
Current Ratio1.80
Rev Growth24.9%
Profit Growth65.7%
EV/EBITDA19.42
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3043.8M
Charter Capital
30438.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Viễn thông
Industry (ICB L3)
Viễn thông di động
Sub-industry
Viễn thông di động
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VGI — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Công nghiệp - Viễn thông Quân đội
Inst
99.0%
3.0 ty
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thị Hải Lý
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Tào Đức Thắng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hà Thế Dương
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Cao Lợi
Kế toán trưởng/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Nga
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Xuân Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hoa
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Đầu tư
Nguyễn Đức Quang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Quang Tiệp
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hoài Bắc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Quản Thị Thu Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Đạt
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đàm Minh Toản
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Phan Trường Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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