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Consumer sector

YTC

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Xuất nhập khẩu Y tế Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh
Y tế/Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Y tếCT
21.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
9.189
Current
21.000
Gap
-56.2%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
16.67%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.08%
x
D/(D+E)
83.33%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF7.51B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
7.51B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
9.189
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — YTC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

69
Fair
Accrual Quality
95
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.08
High Risk
DSRI
0.740
GMI
0.863
AQI
4.761
SGI
1.247
DEPI
0.954
SGAI
1.051
TATA
-0.013
LVGI
0.861

YTC exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -1.0792, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant concerns, particularly in revenue and margin recognition, which could impact the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 68.7/100, with 0.0/100 in both eq_margin and eq_revenue, suggesting potential issues in revenue recognition and profitability.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.0792, well above the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
Ownership Risk

The top two shareholders, institutional investors SGI Holdings and Dược Sài Gòn, hold a combined 92.4% stake, suggesting a high concentration of ownership which may limit minority shareholder influence and raise governance concerns.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor YTC's revenue recognition practices and margin sustainability, while considering the high ownership concentration as a potential governance risk. A thorough review of financial statements and cash flow analysis is recommended before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.05
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.74
Negative
Composite
32
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-43.3%
Volatility
104.0%
Max Drawdown
-63.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
29.30P/E
P/B1.57
P/S0.41
ROE8.8%
ROA1.0%
EPS1006.91
BVPS18818.25
Gross Margin12.7%
Net Margin1.4%
D/E4.73
Current Ratio1.05
Rev Growth24.9%
Profit Growth46.3%
EV/EBITDA34.69
Div Yield0.7%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
9.5M
Charter Capital
95.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Y tế
Sub-industry
Dụng cụ y tế
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for YTC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư SGI Holdings
Inst
63.4%
6.1 trieu
Công ty TNHH MTV Dược Sài Gòn
Inst
29.0%
2.8 trieu
Dư Quốc Đông
Indiv
3.2%
99.770
Board & Management
Huỳnh Công Triết
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Quốc Việt
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Văn Thiện
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Thị Hồng Nhạn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Nhàn
Kế toán trưởng
Phan Minh Trung
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hoàng Giang
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phan Phương Anh
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Khánh Linh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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