ADC
TechnologyValuation Breakdown
Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — ADC
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
ADC presents several red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -1.8939, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 33.1/100, particularly low cash conversion metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Beneish M-Score of -1.8939 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
- Earnings Quality Score of 33.1/100, with cash conversion and receivables both at 0.0/100, suggests significant issues with revenue recognition and cash flow sustainability.
- The SGI of 0.8908 indicates a potential for revenue growth, as it is below 1, suggesting the company is not overextending itself in terms of sales growth relative to its assets.
- The eq_margin score of 100.0/100 indicates strong profitability margins, which could be a positive indicator if sustainable.
The top shareholder, Công ty TNHH MTV Nhà Xuất Bản Giáo Dục Việt Nam, holds a significant 37.4% stake, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest or influence over financial reporting practices, raising governance concerns.
Investors should approach ADC with caution, closely monitoring future earnings reports and cash flow statements. It may be prudent to wait for improved earnings quality metrics before considering investment.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
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