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Technology sector

SMN

Technology
Công ty Cổ phần Sách và thiết bị giáo dục Miền Nam
Truyền thôngCT
9.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.615
Current
9.900
Gap
-43.3%
ModelDCF PE BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTTechnology
Defaulted to technology (no specific sector mapping found)
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
78.67%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.85%
x
D/(D+E)
21.33%
=
WACC
11.95%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend6.77%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E13.54x
4
Valuation
60%DCF Value
5.150
40%P/E Value
6.311
Blended Intrinsic
5.615
Value Decomposition
49%
51%
Explicit period (49%)Terminal value (51%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SMN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

35
Weak
Accrual Quality
93
Cash Conversion
23
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
41
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2017

-2.44
Moderate
DSRI
0.809
GMI
0.946
AQI
0.970
SGI
1.033
DEPI
0.924
SGAI
1.067
TATA
0.053
LVGI
1.013

The Beneish M-Score of -2.4417 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 56.0 suggests significant concerns, particularly in cash conversion and revenue recognition metrics.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 56.0 indicates potential issues with cash conversion (36.9) and revenue recognition (20.2), raising concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.4417 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, indicating a potentially more reliable earnings report.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by Công ty TNHH MTV Nhà Xuất Bản Giáo Dục Việt Nam at 53.1% may lead to governance risks, as decisions may favor the interests of the majority shareholder over minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow and revenue recognition practices, and consider diversifying their exposure due to the elevated risk profile associated with ownership concentration.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
3.28
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.51
Negative
Composite
24
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-11.1%
Volatility
25.8%
Max Drawdown
-28.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
12.55P/E
P/B0.57
P/S0.13
ROE4.4%
ROA2.8%
EPS788.93
BVPS17506.36
Gross Margin13.3%
Net Margin1.0%
D/E0.86
Current Ratio1.74
Rev Growth-28.4%
Profit Growth-62.4%
EV/EBITDA8.39
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
4.4M
Charter Capital
44.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Truyền thông
Industry (ICB L3)
Truyền thông
Sub-industry
Sách, ấn bản & sản phẩm văn hóa
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SMN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH MTV Nhà Xuất Bản Giáo Dục Việt Nam
Inst
53.1%
2.3 trieu
Phạm Văn Hồng
Indiv
1.1%
50.500
Đỗ Thị Kim Anh
Indiv
1.1%
47.000
Nguyễn Thị Thu
Indiv
0.6%
25.500
Đỗ Thành Lâm
Indiv
0.5%
21.000
ĐỖ THỊ MAI ANH
Indiv
0.4%
15.500
Nguyễn Trường Quang
Indiv
0.1%
6.000
Dương Vân Nhung
Indiv
0.1%
5.500
Vũ Bùi Biển
Indiv
0.1%
5.000
Board & Management
ĐỖ THỊ MAI ANH0.4%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Ngọc Anh Tài
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Phạm Cảnh Toàn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
TRẦN LÊ QUANG
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thanh Hữu
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phùng Ngọc Hồng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Mạc Thị Hồng Minh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Duy Khánh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thành Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Mai Hoa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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