AG1
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — AG1
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
AG1 exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of 1.4895, well above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The company's earnings quality score of 29.9/100, particularly low cash conversion metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Beneish M-Score of 1.4895 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
- Earnings Quality Score of 29.9/100, with an eq_cash_conv of 0.0/100 suggests severe issues with cash flow relative to earnings.
- DSRI of 2.8524 indicates significant growth in receivables compared to revenue, which may signal aggressive revenue recognition practices.
- SGI of 1.1400 suggests moderate sales growth, which could indicate some operational strength.
- The ownership structure shows a dominant institutional shareholder (65.0%), which may provide stability and oversight.
The high concentration of ownership by a single institutional investor (65.0%) could lead to governance risks, as minority shareholders may have limited influence over corporate decisions.
Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering AG1, particularly focusing on cash flow analysis and revenue recognition practices. Monitoring future earnings reports for signs of improvement in cash conversion metrics is essential.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
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