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Utilities sector

SMA

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Thiết bị Phụ tùng Sài Gòn
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
10.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
9.264
Current
10.000
Gap
-7.4%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend1.51%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS500
Payout ratio80.2%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
500
Base Growth
1.51%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
9.264
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SMA

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

52
Fair
Accrual Quality
96
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
66
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.35
Moderate
DSRI
1.018
GMI
0.819
AQI
1.125
SGI
1.154
DEPI
0.927
SGAI
0.679
TATA
-0.011
LVGI
0.921

The Beneish M-Score of -2.3513 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 52.3 suggests potential concerns, particularly in receivables and revenue recognition metrics.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 52.3 indicates moderate risk, particularly with receivables and revenue metrics at 0.0/100, which raises concerns about revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.3513 suggests low likelihood of manipulation, indicating a potentially stable earnings reporting environment.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Công ty Cổ phần Thủy điện Nậm La, holds a significant 52.1% stake, which may lead to concentrated control and potential conflicts of interest, especially in decision-making processes.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and the quality of receivables. Given the elevated risk level, a cautious approach is advised, potentially waiting for improved earnings quality metrics before making significant investments.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.31
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-1.02
Negative
Composite
32
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-33.4%
Volatility
52.7%
Max Drawdown
-49.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
15.54P/E
P/B0.84
P/S2.67
ROE5.4%
ROA3.1%
EPS643.70
BVPS11917.59
Gross Margin54.0%
Net Margin17.2%
D/E0.68
Current Ratio2.54
Rev Growth15.4%
Profit Growth0.7%
EV/EBITDA5.34
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
20.4M
Charter Capital
203.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SMA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Thủy điện Nậm La
Inst
52.1%
10.6 trieu
Trần Đức Phú
Indiv
4.5%
906.159
Phan Hoàng Tuấn
Indiv
2.6%
422.100
Tổng Công ty Đầu Tư Và Kinh Doanh Vốn Nhà Nước
State
2.5%
516.655
Trần Văn Thứ
Indiv
2.2%
348.300
Lê Thị Phương Mai
Indiv
1.8%
358.578
Lê Phúc Quý
Indiv
1.8%
357.528
Công ty TNHH SX TM Hiệp Thành Phúc
Inst
1.6%
259.064
Trương Văn Trưởng
Indiv
0.8%
156.562
Nguyễn Đình Hiền
Indiv
0.3%
51.187
Phạm Thị Ngọc Anh
Indiv
0.2%
37.200
nguyen-thanh-tam
Indiv
0.2%
34.833
Nguyễn Hữu Hưng
Indiv
0.2%
28.584
Đỗ Tuấn Anh
Indiv
0.1%
37.900
Board & Management
Trần Đức Phú4.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Thị Phương Mai1.8%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đình Hiền0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hữu Hưng0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vũ Hà Nam
Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Thị Thu Phương
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hồ Ngọc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Tiến Luật
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh Nguyên Khánh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Viết Hoàng
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Văn Minh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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