VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Utilities sector

VCP

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Xây dựng và Năng lượng VCP
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
23.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
42.715
Current
23.900
Gap
+78.7%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend5.48%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS2.000
Payout ratio57.6%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
2.000
Base Growth
5.48%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
42.715
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VCP

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

65
Fair
Accrual Quality
93
Cash Conversion
63
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
71
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-0.65
High Risk
DSRI
2.672
GMI
1.059
AQI
0.763
SGI
1.290
DEPI
0.956
SGAI
0.748
TATA
0.017
LVGI
1.065

VCP exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, particularly highlighted by its high DSRI and SGI values. However, the company maintains a solid earnings quality score, suggesting some operational strengths despite the risks.

Red Flags
  • DSRI of 2.6720 indicates significant growth in receivables relative to sales, suggesting potential revenue recognition issues.
  • SGI of 1.2902 indicates that sales growth is outpacing the industry average, which may not be sustainable.
  • The low TATA of 0.0165 suggests potential issues with asset turnover, indicating inefficiencies in asset utilization.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 65.3/100 indicates a reasonable level of earnings quality, with particularly strong receivables management (100.0/100).
  • High eq_accrual score of 93.4/100 suggests that the company is generating earnings in a manner consistent with cash flows.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated among a few institutional investors, which may provide stability but also raises concerns about potential collusion or lack of independent oversight.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor VCP's financial disclosures and consider a cautious approach, particularly in light of the red flags related to revenue recognition and asset efficiency.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.47
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.42
Negative
Composite
59
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-4.9%
Volatility
21.6%
Max Drawdown
-18.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
4.54P/E
P/B0.94
P/S0.88
ROE22.7%
ROA8.0%
EPS5303.82
BVPS25656.25
Gross Margin34.9%
Net Margin19.4%
D/E1.57
Current Ratio2.81
Rev Growth29.0%
Profit Growth45.0%
EV/EBITDA4.86
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
83.8M
Charter Capital
837.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VCP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công Ty Cổ Phần Dh Holdings
Inst
17.6%
14.8 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Vsd
Inst
14.3%
12.0 trieu
Công ty TNHH MTV V - Trade
Inst
9.2%
7.7 trieu
Tổng Công ty Sông Đà
Inst
7.1%
5.9 trieu
Lê Quốc Hương
Indiv
5.9%
5.2 trieu
Vũ Tuấn Cường
Indiv
4.5%
3.8 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Châu Á Thống Nhất
Inst
4.5%
3.8 trieu
Đỗ Hoàng Dương
Indiv
4.3%
3.6 trieu
Nguyễn Tuấn Anh
Indiv
4.0%
3.0 trieu
Đỗ Tuấn Anh
Indiv
1.4%
1.1 trieu
Vương Hoàng Minh
Indiv
0.9%
500.839
Phạm Bảo Long
Indiv
0.5%
357.166
Ngô Mạnh Cường
Indiv
0.3%
182.541
Tổng Công ty cơ điện xây dựng
Inst
0.1%
62.590
Board & Management
Phạm Văn Minh
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Thu Phương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đinh Thị Hạnh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hồ Ngọc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trịnh Quốc Bình
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hà Ninh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Ngọc Tú
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Bình
Kế toán trưởng
Trịnh Nguyên Khánh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →