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Technology sector

VLA

Technology
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Phát triển Công nghệ Văn Lang
Công nghệ Thông tin/Phần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tínhCT
8.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
3.259
Current
8.500
Gap
-61.6%
ModelDCF PE BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTCông nghệ Thông tinTechnology
Classified as technology because ICB sector "Công nghệ Thông tin" maps to the technology group
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
94.49%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.17%
x
D/(D+E)
5.51%
=
WACC
13.14%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default8.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E16x
4
Valuation
60%DCF Value
3.098
40%P/E Value
3.502
Blended Intrinsic
3.259
Value Decomposition
53%
47%
Explicit period (53%)Terminal value (47%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VLA

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

8
Poor
Accrual Quality
31
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.15
High Risk
DSRI
1.848
GMI
0.929
AQI
0.013
SGI
0.811
DEPI
0.938
SGAI
1.028
TATA
0.211
LVGI
0.458

The forensic assessment of VLA indicates significant concerns regarding earnings quality and potential financial manipulation. With a Beneish M-Score of -1.1535, the company is below the manipulation threshold, and its earnings quality score of 7.6/100 suggests severe issues in revenue recognition and cash conversion.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.1535 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 7.6/100 highlights poor accruals and cash conversion metrics, with eq_cash_conv and eq_receivables both at 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.8476 suggests that inventory growth is in line with revenue, which could indicate operational stability.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated among a few individuals, with the largest shareholder holding 25.0%. This concentration may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should approach VLA with caution, considering the high risk of earnings manipulation and poor earnings quality. It is advisable to monitor upcoming financial reports closely for any signs of improvement or further deterioration.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
9.37
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.65
Negative
Composite
6
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-45.9%
Volatility
92.0%
Max Drawdown
-50.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
40.67P/E
P/B0.79
P/S2.97
ROE2.0%
ROA1.8%
EPS218.85
BVPS11247.37
Gross Margin73.3%
Net Margin7.3%
D/E0.06
Current Ratio17.87
Rev Growth-18.9%
Profit Growth69.3%
EV/EBITDA-14.35
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
4.0M
Charter Capital
40.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Công nghệ Thông tin
Industry (ICB L3)
Phần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tính
Sub-industry
Phần mềm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VLA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Đặng Trọng Khang
Indiv
25.0%
998.260
Nguyễn Thành Tiến
Indiv
11.5%
458.170
Nguyễn Hữu Thuận
Indiv
10.0%
399.600
nguyen-thu-ha
Indiv
9.4%
375.347
Lê Anh Nguyên
Indiv
5.4%
58.700
Công ty Cổ Phần Ci Holding
Inst
5.0%
198.000
Công ty Cổ phần Bất động sản cho thuê Minh Bảo Tín
Inst
4.6%
50.000
Willem Stuive
Indiv
4.6%
50.000
Trần Thị Thanh Hoa
Indiv
4.4%
176.120
Nguyễn Văn Thọ
Indiv
4.0%
160.950
Vũ Thị Hiền Nhung
Indiv
3.0%
120.620
Trần Quang Thịnh
Indiv
2.4%
95.090
Lê Thành Anh
Indiv
1.1%
12.000
Trần Thị Kim Hương
Indiv
0.8%
8.300
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư tài chính Thiên Hóa
Inst
0.6%
6.400
Vũ Trung Chính
Indiv
0.5%
5.000
nguyen-van-duc
Indiv
0.3%
13.810
Nguyễn Mạnh Hùng
Indiv
0.2%
2.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thành Tiến11.5%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hữu Thuận10.0%
Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Quang Thịnh2.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Đức0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Quốc Cường
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đặng Viết Mạnh
Phó Giám đốc
HOÀNG THỊ XUÂN HÒA
Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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