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Construction sector

CMP

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Cảng Chân Mây
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
8.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
14.397
Current
8.000
Gap
+80.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
51.94%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.79%
x
D/(D+E)
48.06%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
10.963
50%DCF Value
17.832
Blended Intrinsic
14.397
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CMP

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

45
Weak
Accrual Quality
79
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.62
Low Risk
DSRI
1.368
GMI
0.786
AQI
1.162
SGI
0.853
DEPI
0.890
SGAI
1.371
TATA
-0.052
LVGI
0.942

CMP exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as reflected by its Beneish M-Score of -2.6219, which is significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 44.8/100, particularly low scores in receivables, margin, and revenue metrics, further highlight potential issues in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.6219 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation, well below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 44.8/100, with 0.0/100 in receivables, margin, and revenue metrics, suggests severe issues with revenue recognition and cash flow management.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 1.3684 indicates that inventory levels are increasing, which could suggest growth potential if managed properly.
  • The eq_cash_conv score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash conversion from earnings, suggesting that cash flows are being generated effectively despite other concerns.
Ownership Risk

The overwhelming ownership by Tổng Công ty Công Nghiệp Tàu Thủy (98.9%) raises concerns about lack of minority shareholder influence and potential governance issues, as decisions may heavily favor the controlling entity.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor CMP's financial disclosures and operational performance, particularly focusing on revenue recognition practices. A thorough review of governance practices is also recommended before making any investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.26
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.00
Negative
Composite
51
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.0%
Volatility
1.0%
Max Drawdown
0.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
10.88P/E
P/B0.69
P/S0.79
ROE6.5%
ROA3.4%
EPS734.98
BVPS11630.91
Gross Margin29.9%
Net Margin7.3%
D/E0.83
Current Ratio1.49
Rev Growth-14.7%
Profit Growth-6.8%
EV/EBITDA4.28
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
32.4M
Charter Capital
324.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Kho bãi, hậu cần và bảo dưỡng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CMP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Công Nghiệp Tàu Thủy
Inst
98.9%
32.0 trieu
Board & Management
Trần Văn Phong
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hồ Hoàng Thi
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Tài chính/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Văn Toàn
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
LÊ VĂN TIẾN
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
NGÔ KHÁNH TOÀN
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Văn Chương
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thành Công
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Tuấn Anh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thị Hoàng Diệu
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Tiến Đạt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Công Định
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Dương Bá Hòa
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Văn Toàn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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