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Construction sector

CVT

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần CMC
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
25.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
18.052
Current
25.700
Gap
-29.8%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
29.10%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.21%
x
D/(D+E)
70.90%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.10%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
42.848
50%DCF Value
-6.745
Blended Intrinsic
18.052
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CVT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

69
Fair
Accrual Quality
99
Cash Conversion
62
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
58
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.44
Moderate
DSRI
0.705
GMI
1.465
AQI
0.536
SGI
1.235
DEPI
0.893
SGAI
0.853
TATA
0.004
LVGI
0.954

The Beneish M-Score of -2.4382 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the Earnings Quality Score of 68.7 suggests some concerns, particularly with revenue recognition, which is rated at 0.0/100.

Red Flags
  • SGI of 1.2352 indicates significant sales growth that may not be supported by cash flow, raising concerns about revenue sustainability.
  • The EQ Revenue score of 0.0/100 suggests potential issues with revenue recognition practices, which is a critical risk in the Vietnamese market context.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 0.7052 indicates that the company is managing its inventory effectively relative to sales, which is a positive sign.
  • The high EQ Accrual score of 98.5/100 reflects strong accrual quality, suggesting that reported earnings are likely to be more reliable.
Ownership Risk

With DNP Holding owning 51.1% of shares, there is a significant concentration of ownership, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of ownership concentration before making investment decisions. A deeper analysis of cash flow and operational sustainability is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.67
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.17
Negative
Composite
46
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-5.3%
Volatility
33.8%
Max Drawdown
-19.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
18.87P/E
P/B0.93
P/S0.45
ROE5.0%
ROA1.5%
EPS1361.93
BVPS27710.99
Gross Margin10.5%
Net Margin2.4%
D/E2.09
Current Ratio1.69
Rev Growth20.0%
Profit Growth-16.4%
EV/EBITDA10.19
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
36.7M
Charter Capital
366.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CVT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần DNP Holding
Inst
51.1%
18.8 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Chương
Indiv
4.9%
1.8 trieu
Bùi Thị Như Quỳnh
Indiv
4.5%
1.7 trieu
Lê Quốc Hưng
Indiv
4.5%
865.000
Trần Thị Loan
Indiv
2.6%
958.600
Phan Thị Hương
Indiv
1.1%
210.713
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Xuân
Indiv
0.9%
182.400
Dương Mạnh Tiềm
Indiv
0.8%
155.000
Nguyễn Văn Khiêm
Indiv
0.3%
51.600
Bùi Nhân Chương
Indiv
0.3%
9.464
nguyen-thanh-chung
Indiv
0.1%
50.000
Kiều Sơn Hùng
Indiv
0.1%
39.200
Board & Management
Vũ Thị Loan
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Tạ Quang Vững
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Ngô Đức Vũ
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Hiếu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Thị Thu Thảo
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Tài chính - Kế toán
Trần Hữu Chuyền
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Phúc Viện
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Thùy Giang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hồng Oanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
NGUYỄN THỊ BÌNH MINH
Kế toán trưởng/Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Trần Đức Thanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Đức Huy
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quang Huy
Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Quang Huy
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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