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Consumer sector

CVN

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Vinam
Y tế/Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Y tếCT
1.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
32.414
Current
1.000
Gap
+500.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
85.25%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.86%
x
D/(D+E)
14.75%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF58.32B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
58.32B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
32.414
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CVN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

20
Poor
Accrual Quality
41
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-4.04
Low Risk
DSRI
0.614
GMI
1.308
AQI
1.068
SGI
0.495
DEPI
0.811
SGAI
1.599
TATA
-0.172
LVGI
1.057

CVN exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -4.0445, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 20.2/100 suggests severe issues with revenue recognition and cash conversion.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -4.0445 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 20.2/100, with eq_receivables, eq_margin, and eq_revenue all at 0.0/100, raises concerns about revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.6143 suggests that accounts receivable are growing at a slower rate than revenue, which could indicate a more conservative approach to revenue recognition.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated among individuals, with the largest shareholder holding only 11.7%. This may lead to potential governance issues and conflicts of interest, particularly in decision-making processes.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering any investment in CVN, focusing on the company's revenue recognition practices and overall financial transparency.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.51
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-1.55
Negative
Composite
36
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-62.9%
Volatility
93.6%
Max Drawdown
-73.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-2.91P/E
P/B0.09
P/S0.68
ROE-2.9%
ROA-2.4%
EPS-375.13
BVPS12795.96
Gross Margin10.4%
Net Margin-23.5%
D/E0.17
Current Ratio0.66
Rev Growth-50.5%
Profit Growth-941.5%
EV/EBITDA-124.57
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
29.7M
Charter Capital
297.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Y tế
Sub-industry
Thiết bị y tế
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CVN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Huỳnh Cẩm Đoan
Indiv
11.7%
380.600
Nguyễn Thị Mỹ Nhung
Indiv
5.0%
1.5 trieu
Phạm Duy Khánh
Indiv
4.9%
160.000
nguyen-nhat-minh
Indiv
4.9%
400.600
Nguyễn Thị Huyền Trang
Indiv
4.9%
400.000
Lê Đức Khanh
Indiv
4.8%
950.000
Ngô Văn Bình
Indiv
4.5%
900.000
Nguyễn Minh Tuấn
Indiv
2.8%
838.800
Nguyễn Mạnh Cường
Indiv
2.8%
820.000
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư SME
Inst
1.6%
300.000
Vũ Văn Ngát
Indiv
1.6%
130.000
Lotus - Mekong River Equity Fund
Inst
1.5%
49.500
Công ty Cổ phần Quản Lý Quỹ Bông Sen
Inst
0.8%
161.000
Nguyễn Hồng Hạnh
Indiv
0.5%
14.750
Đào Văn Hùng
Indiv
0.5%
14.750
Nguyễn Tiến Sỹ
Indiv
0.5%
14.750
nguyen-thi-van-anh
Indiv
0.5%
14.750
Trần Văn Khánh
Indiv
0.5%
14.750
Lê Xuân Hùng
Indiv
0.2%
5.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Mạnh Cường2.8%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Đào Thị Thanh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Hà Thị Thu Trang
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ /Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Trần Út Hạnh
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Huỳnh Thị Tuyết Nhung
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Cao Thị Minh Nguyệt
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Takishita Akira
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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