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Construction sector

VIH

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Viglacera Hà Nội
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
28.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
26.098
Current
28.000
Gap
-6.8%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
22.59%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.11%
x
D/(D+E)
77.41%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
23.845
50%DCF Value
28.351
Blended Intrinsic
26.098
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VIH

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

49
Weak
Accrual Quality
72
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
28
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.38
Moderate
DSRI
1.492
GMI
0.969
AQI
1.025
SGI
0.978
DEPI
0.923
SGAI
0.961
TATA
-0.071
LVGI
0.966

The Beneish M-Score of -2.3774 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 48.5/100, particularly low metrics in receivables and revenue, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality score of 48.5/100 indicates potential issues with earnings sustainability, especially with receivables at 28.1/100 and revenue at 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.3774 suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation compared to the threshold of -1.78.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tổng Công ty Viglacera (51.0%) indicates a strong influence over corporate governance, which could lead to conflicts of interest or lack of transparency in decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor the company's cash flow and revenue recognition practices, given the low earnings quality metrics. Consider a cautious approach to investment until clearer signals of operational stability emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
2.01
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.83
Positive
Composite
59
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+120.5%
Volatility
135.3%
Max Drawdown
-37.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
15.12P/E
P/B1.84
P/S0.29
ROE12.6%
ROA3.0%
EPS1851.84
BVPS15189.97
Gross Margin8.4%
Net Margin1.9%
D/E2.97
Current Ratio0.76
Rev Growth-2.1%
Profit Growth95.2%
EV/EBITDA6.52
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
5.6M
Charter Capital
56.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VIH — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Viglacera
Inst
51.0%
2.9 trieu
Nguyễn Minh Tuấn
Indiv
10.7%
598.600
Nguyễn Thế Mạnh
Indiv
5.7%
319.268
Đinh Quang Huy
Indiv
5.1%
282.968
Lê Tiến Dũng
Indiv
2.9%
161.813
Nguyễn Quảng Nam
Indiv
2.2%
124.570
Nguyễn Chí Hòa
Indiv
0.7%
40.100
Bùi Thu Hằng
Indiv
0.2%
10.000
Đặng Minh Tâm
Indiv
0.1%
8.926
Board & Management
Đinh Quang Huy5.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Tiến Dũng2.9%
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quảng Nam2.2%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Chí Hòa0.7%
Phó Giám đốc
Bùi Thu Hằng0.2%
Kế toán trưởng
Hồ Thị Thủy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Quách Hữu Thuận
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đoàn Hải Mậu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Cao Thị Nhung
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Trọng Toán
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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