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Construction sector

TLT

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Viglacera Thăng Long
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
26.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
12.662
Current
26.500
Gap
-52.2%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
27.49%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.61%
x
D/(D+E)
72.51%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.64%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
23.715
50%DCF Value
1.609
Blended Intrinsic
12.662
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TLT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

32
Weak
Accrual Quality
88
Cash Conversion
38
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-0.22
High Risk
DSRI
3.377
GMI
0.855
AQI
0.890
SGI
1.053
DEPI
1.096
SGAI
1.023
TATA
0.030
LVGI
1.000

The Beneish M-Score of -0.2191 indicates a low likelihood of manipulation, as it is well above the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 31.5/100, particularly low scores in cash conversion and receivables, raise concerns about the sustainability of earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 31.5/100 indicates poor earnings quality, with cash conversion at 38.1/100 and receivables at 0.0/100.
  • DSRI of 3.3774 suggests significant growth in receivables relative to revenue, which could indicate potential revenue recognition issues.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -0.2191 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong institutional ownership with top shareholders holding 51.1% each, indicating stability and potential support for governance.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership among institutional investors (51.1% each) may lead to reduced liquidity and potential governance risks, particularly if these entities have conflicting interests.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and receivables management, given the low earnings quality score. Consider a cautious approach until improvements in cash conversion and receivables are observed.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.58
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.71
Positive
Composite
42
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+65.7%
Volatility
120.3%
Max Drawdown
-35.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.73P/E
P/B1.81
P/S0.28
ROE21.7%
ROA6.0%
EPS3035.74
BVPS14648.18
Gross Margin9.0%
Net Margin3.2%
D/E2.63
Current Ratio1.12
Rev Growth5.4%
Profit Growth69.5%
EV/EBITDA5.74
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
7.0M
Charter Capital
69.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TLT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Ống sợi thủy tinh Vinaconex
Inst
51.1%
3.6 trieu
Tổng Công ty Viglacera
Inst
51.1%
3.6 trieu
Nguyễn Minh Tuấn
Indiv
15.5%
1.1 trieu
Luyện Công Minh
Indiv
13.3%
932.900
Tạ Hùng Minh
Indiv
5.0%
347.710
Lê Thị Thảo
Indiv
4.0%
281.500
nguyen-thi-yen
Indiv
2.1%
142.950
Đinh Quang Huy
Indiv
1.8%
124.800
Đoàn Hải Mậu
Indiv
1.3%
90.000
Luyện Công Mạnh
Indiv
0.5%
32.325
Nguyễn Minh Hiền
Indiv
0.2%
14.189
Board & Management
Đinh Quang Huy1.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đoàn Hải Mậu1.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Phùng Văn Hải
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Việt Hồng
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Cao Thị Nhung
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Ngọc San
Phó Giám đốc
Ngô Trọng Toán
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Luyện Công Anh
Kế toán trưởng
Sái Thị Ngát
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Tiến Dũng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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