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Real Estate sector

HD6

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Phát triển nhà số 6 Hà Nội
Bất động sảnCT
9.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
18.583
Current
9.200
Gap
+102.0%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
47.94%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.41%
x
D/(D+E)
52.06%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
21.461
60%DCF Value
16.664
Blended Intrinsic
18.583
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HD6

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

8
Poor
Accrual Quality
34
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.24
High Risk
DSRI
0.792
GMI
1.319
AQI
0.250
SGI
2.467
DEPI
0.722
SGAI
0.553
TATA
0.023
LVGI
0.662

The Beneish M-Score of -1.2353 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the high SGI of 2.4674 and low earnings quality score of 59.2 suggest potential growth concerns and revenue recognition issues that warrant caution.

Red Flags
  • SGI of 2.4674 indicates aggressive growth that may not be sustainable.
  • Earnings quality score of 59.2/100, particularly low revenue quality score of 0.0/100, raises concerns about revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.2353 suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership, with 70.0% held by a single institution, may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest, limiting minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and growth sustainability, while considering a diversified investment approach to mitigate risks associated with high ownership concentration.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.67
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-1.28
Negative
Composite
29
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-29.0%
Volatility
24.6%
Max Drawdown
-38.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
103.97P/E
P/B0.57
P/S0.96
ROE0.5%
ROA0.2%
EPS94.60
BVPS17168.70
Gross Margin14.9%
Net Margin0.9%
D/E1.09
Current Ratio1.15
Rev Growth-82.9%
Profit Growth-97.2%
EV/EBITDA13.77
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
15.1M
Charter Capital
151.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HD6 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Phát triển nhà số 6 Hà Nội
Inst
70.0%
0
Lê Quốc Bình
Indiv
19.4%
2.9 trieu
Tổng Công ty Đầu tư và phát triển nhà Hà Nội
Inst
16.3%
2.5 trieu
Vũ Tuấn Anh
Indiv
3.0%
459.588
Phạm Ngọc Chiến
Indiv
1.7%
259.568
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Sài Gòn - Hà Nội
Inst
1.3%
191.100
Bế Ngọc Long
Indiv
1.1%
159.368
Vũ Văn Mạnh
Indiv
0.8%
124.614
Hoàng Thị Thúy Nga
Indiv
0.5%
70.609
Nguyễn Thị Cẩm Tú
Indiv
0.3%
50.978
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hiền
Indiv
0.2%
27.314
Hoàng Quế Sơn
Indiv
0.2%
25.436
Dương Thị Thái Hương
Indiv
0.1%
21.225
Phan Thị Kim Dung
Indiv
0.1%
18.837
Board & Management
Lê Quốc Bình19.4%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Tuấn Anh3.0%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Ngọc Chiến1.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bế Ngọc Long1.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hiên0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Quế Sơn0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Dương Thị Thái Hương0.1%
Kế toán trưởng
Phan Thị Kim Dung0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Anh Tú
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Ngô Văn Đồng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Tuấn Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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