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Real Estate sector

VRC

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Bất động sản và Đầu tư VRC
Bất động sảnCT
13.950
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
12.301
Current
13.950
Gap
-11.8%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
72.95%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.63%
x
D/(D+E)
27.05%
=
WACC
11.44%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
24.601
60%DCF Value
-6.212
Blended Intrinsic
12.301
Value Decomposition
37%
63%
Explicit period (37%)Terminal value (63%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VRC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

30
Poor
Accrual Quality
98
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
34
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.39
Moderate
DSRI
1.841
GMI
0.945
AQI
0.997
SGI
0.468
DEPI
0.500
SGAI
1.875
TATA
0.005
LVGI
0.984

VRC exhibits several concerning indicators of potential financial manipulation, as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -2.3887, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The company's earnings quality score of 29.5/100, particularly low cash conversion and receivables metrics, raises additional concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.3887 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 29.5/100 highlights severe issues, particularly with eq_cash_conv and eq_receivables both at 0.0/100, suggesting poor cash flow management and high reliance on receivables.
  • SGAI of 1.8748 indicates aggressive spending on selling, general, and administrative expenses, which could be a red flag for inflated earnings.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.8406 suggests that inventory levels are increasing, which could indicate growth, but may also signal potential overproduction.
  • The company has a relatively stable ownership structure with significant stakes held by individuals and institutions, which can provide some level of oversight.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders, primarily individuals with significant stakes, could lead to potential governance issues if their interests do not align with minority shareholders. However, institutional presence may provide some balance.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow and receivables management. Monitoring future earnings reports for signs of improvement in cash conversion metrics is crucial.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.91
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.36
Negative
Composite
27
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-17.7%
Volatility
47.8%
Max Drawdown
-28.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
910.59P/E
P/B0.69
P/S95.46
ROE0.1%
ROA0.0%
EPS14.83
BVPS19681.12
Gross Margin83.1%
Net Margin10.5%
D/E0.37
Current Ratio3.38
Rev Growth-53.2%
Profit Growth-24.2%
EV/EBITDA349.38
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
50.0M
Charter Capital
500.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VRC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Bùi Minh Lực
Indiv
20.3%
10.2 trieu
Trần Thị Vân
Indiv
16.6%
8.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Sài Gòn - Hà Nội
Inst
14.5%
7.3 trieu
Công ty CP Đầu Tư Kim Cương
Inst
4.4%
634.357
Công ty TNHH MTV Tài chính Cao su
Inst
3.0%
430.000
Lê Hồng Đức
Indiv
2.9%
408.000
Trần Hữu Duyên
Indiv
1.8%
250.000
Đinh Mạnh Hồng
Indiv
0.9%
124.495
Nguyễn Văn Lâm
Indiv
0.7%
100.000
Đinh Thị Hiền
Indiv
0.5%
74.416
Ngô Thế Quang
Indiv
0.3%
48.735
Lưu Ngọc Thanh
Indiv
0.2%
34.000
Board & Management
Phạm Thị Thùy Vân
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Phan Chiêu Anh
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ /Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Minh Khiêm
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Giám đốc Tài chính
Từ Như Quỳnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Ngọc Quỳnh Như
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Thị Thúy
Kế toán trưởng
Trần Thị Thùy Hương
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Computed 12/04/2026
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