VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Cyclicals sector

HHS

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Dịch vụ Hoàng Huy
Ô tô và phụ tùngCT
13.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
4.521
Current
13.000
Gap
-65.2%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTCyclical
Defaulted to cyclical (no specific sector mapping found)
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA40.99B
Fair EV/EBITDA37.9x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
40.99B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
37.9x
-
Net Debt
-401.04B
=
Equity Value
4.521
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HHS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

38
Weak
Accrual Quality
73
Cash Conversion
44
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
31

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

2.03
High Risk
DSRI
5.334
GMI
1.531
AQI
0.172
SGI
1.563
DEPI
4.118
SGAI
1.530
TATA
0.068
LVGI
2.574

HHS exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of 2.0266, well above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The company's earnings quality score of 38.2/100, particularly low cash conversion and receivables metrics, further raises concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 2.0266 indicates likely earnings manipulation.
  • DSRI of 5.3335 suggests significant increases in receivables relative to sales, which may indicate aggressive revenue recognition.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 38.2/100, with an eq_receivables score of 0.0/100, highlights severe issues in revenue collection and recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Ownership concentration with 58.3% held by Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Dịch vụ Tài chính Hoàng Huy may provide stability and commitment to corporate governance.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by a single institution could lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced oversight, increasing the risk of management decisions that may not align with minority shareholder interests.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor HHS's financial disclosures and operational performance, considering a wait-and-see approach until clearer signs of earnings quality improvement emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.10
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.79
Positive
Composite
40
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+34.1%
Volatility
45.7%
Max Drawdown
-50.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
1.48P/E
P/B0.59
P/S5.95
ROE52.0%
ROA24.9%
EPS8324.88
BVPS20925.95
Gross Margin7.3%
Net Margin402.8%
D/E0.42
Current Ratio4.65
Rev Growth56.3%
Profit Growth879.4%
EV/EBITDA-1462.15
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
432.0M
Charter Capital
4319.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Ô tô và phụ tùng
Industry (ICB L3)
Ô tô và phụ tùng
Sub-industry
Sản xuất ô tô
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HHS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Dịch vụ Tài chính Hoàng Huy
Inst
58.3%
251.9 trieu
the ton poh fund
Inst
4.9%
5.4 trieu
PYN Elite Fund
Inst
4.7%
12.8 trieu
nguyen-phuong-dong
Indiv
4.6%
19.8 trieu
Công ty TNHH Xuất Nhập Khẩu Hùng Hưng
Inst
4.1%
10.8 trieu
Công ty TNHH Thành Trung
Inst
3.7%
9.7 trieu
Công Ty Trách Nhiệm Hữu Hạn Thương Mại Và Xe Tải Quốc Tế
Inst
3.6%
9.5 trieu
Board & Management
Phùng Thị Thu Hương
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Trọng Cường
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Thị Trà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Thị Hằng Nga
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Thế Hùng
Giám đốc
Đỗ Hữu Hạ
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Hữu Hậu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hồ Thị Xuân Hòa
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Hà
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Mạnh Luân
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thu Trang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →