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Construction sector

CII

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Hạ tầng Kỹ thuật Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
19.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.136
Current
19.100
Gap
-62.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
14.272
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
14.272

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CII

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

33
Weak
Accrual Quality
91
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
25
Margin Stability
38
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.60
Low Risk
DSRI
0.804
GMI
0.979
AQI
0.865
SGI
0.978
DEPI
1.011
SGAI
0.938
TATA
0.023
LVGI
0.908

CII exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.5952, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 33.4/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 33.4/100, with cash conversion at 0.0/100, suggesting significant discrepancies between reported earnings and actual cash flows.
  • Receivables quality score at 24.8/100 indicates potential issues in revenue recognition and collection efficiency.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.5952, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • DSRI at 0.8041 indicates a decrease in receivables relative to sales, which could imply improved efficiency in managing accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is relatively fragmented with no single entity holding a controlling stake, which may mitigate risks of management entrenchment but could also lead to less accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow performance and receivables management while considering a cautious approach to investment in CII due to the low earnings quality score.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.62
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.68
Positive
Composite
39
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+46.8%
Volatility
53.0%
Max Drawdown
-51.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
96.29P/E
P/B1.34
P/S4.04
ROE1.7%
ROA0.3%
EPS198.36
BVPS14271.99
Gross Margin56.1%
Net Margin4.2%
D/E2.14
Current Ratio1.55
Rev Growth-3.7%
Profit Growth-52.2%
EV/EBITDA15.48
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
672.0M
Charter Capital
6719.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CII — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
PYN Elite Fund
Inst
6.9%
16.6 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Tân Tam Mã
Inst
4.6%
10.9 trieu
Công ty Đầu tư Tài chính Nhà nước Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh
Inst
4.4%
27.4 trieu
KIM Vietnam Growth Equity Fund
Inst
3.9%
9.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Thiên Việt
Inst
3.0%
6.4 trieu
VIAC (No.1) Limited Partnership
Inst
3.0%
7.2 trieu
Vietnam Infrastructure Strategic Ltd
Inst
2.9%
6.2 trieu
Master Fund Holdings (Cayman) Ltd.
Inst
2.5%
6.1 trieu
Peconic Holdings (Cayman) Ltd.
Inst
1.8%
4.5 trieu
AIT PTE. LTD
Inst
1.8%
3.8 trieu
Công ty TNHH Lê Thành Cường
Inst
1.7%
4.0 trieu
amersham industries limited
Inst
1.7%
4.0 trieu
VIP Infrastructure Holdings Pte. Ltd.
Inst
1.6%
4.0 trieu
VietNam Infrastructure Holding Limited
Inst
1.5%
3.3 trieu
Citgroup Global Markets Limited
Inst
1.3%
2.7 trieu
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellchaft, London Branch
Inst
1.2%
2.5 trieu
Ngân hàng Deutsche Aktiengesellschaft
Inst
1.2%
2.5 trieu
Jaccar Capital Fund
Inst
1.1%
2.4 trieu
KITMC Worldwide Vietnam RSP Balanced Fund
Inst
0.9%
2.2 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Xây Dựng Tuấn Lộc
Inst
0.8%
1.7 trieu
KB Vietnam Focus Balanced Fund
Inst
0.5%
1.2 trieu
Công ty SXKD TM&DV XNK TNXP
Inst
0.5%
1.0 trieu
Công Ty TNHH Một Thành Viên Dịch Vụ Công Ích Thanh Niên Xung Phong
Inst
0.4%
750.790
Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited
Inst
0.3%
694.500
Deutsche Asset Management (Asia) Limited
Inst
0.3%
582.255
Dương Quang Châu
Indiv
0.1%
800.000
Lê Vũ Hoàng
Indiv
0.1%
856.392
Samsung Vietnam Securities Master Investment Trust
Inst
0.1%
268.000
Vietnam Dragon Fund Limited
Inst
0.1%
217.360
Board & Management
Dương Quang Châu0.1%
Giám đốc đầu tư
Lê Vũ Hoàng0.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Khắc Hoành
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Thành
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thị Tuất
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trịnh Thị Ngọc Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đoàn Minh Thư
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Trường Hoàng
Giám đốc Dự án
Nguyễn Thị Thu Trà
Giám đốc Tài chính/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Cao Thị Ngọc Vân
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Hồng Diệp
Giám đốc Hành chính
Lê Quốc Bình
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Đặng Ngọc Thanh
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quang Thanh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Mai Thị Thu Phương
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Hồng Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Trường Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Mai Bảo Trâm
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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