HII
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HII
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
HII presents a moderate risk profile, with a Beneish M-Score of -3.0398 indicating no immediate signs of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in revenue and margin quality, which may raise concerns about the sustainability of earnings.
- Earnings quality score of 67.2/100 is decent, but critical components like eq_margin and eq_revenue are at 0.0/100, indicating potential issues with revenue recognition and profitability.
- GMI of 1.0921 suggests that gross margins are declining, which could signal future profitability challenges.
- DSRI of 0.9297 indicates that accounts receivable are not growing faster than sales, which is a positive sign for cash flow.
- High cash conversion score of 100.0/100 suggests that the company is effectively converting its earnings into cash.
The ownership structure shows a significant institutional stake of 45.1% held by Công ty Cổ phần Nhựa An Phát Xanh, which may provide stability but also raises concerns about potential influence over corporate governance.
Investors should closely monitor HII's revenue recognition practices and profitability metrics. A deeper analysis of cash flow and operational efficiency is recommended before making investment decisions.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for HII — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate