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Consumer sector

HSM

Consumer
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Dệt May Hà Nội
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
6.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
8.004
Current
6.900
Gap
+16.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
16.007
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
16.007

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HSM

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

66
Fair
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.07
Low Risk
DSRI
0.771
GMI
0.407
AQI
1.005
SGI
1.098
DEPI
0.979
SGAI
0.889
TATA
-0.038
LVGI
0.967

HSM exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.066, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in revenue and margin quality, which may raise concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 66.2/100, with revenue and margin quality both at 0.0/100, indicating potential issues in revenue recognition and profitability.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.066 is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with 57.6% held by a state-owned enterprise, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced transparency in decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should conduct further due diligence on revenue recognition practices and monitor future earnings reports closely, considering the weak earnings quality metrics before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.08
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.04
Negative
Composite
58
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+2.7%
Volatility
116.7%
Max Drawdown
-38.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
18.84P/E
P/B0.46
P/S0.12
ROE2.4%
ROA0.7%
EPS387.47
BVPS16007.42
Gross Margin12.1%
Net Margin0.6%
D/E1.92
Current Ratio1.10
Rev Growth9.4%
Profit Growth111.3%
EV/EBITDA6.10
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
20.5M
Charter Capital
205.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HSM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công Ty Tnhh Tổng Công Ty Dệt May Miền Bắc - Vinatex
State
57.6%
11.8 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Dệt May Liên Phương
Inst
18.6%
3.8 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Hạ tầng Công nghiệp và SXKD Dệt may Việt Nam
Inst
18.6%
3.8 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Dệt May Huế
Inst
2.6%
0
Board & Management
Nguyễn Trí Sơn
Giám đốc điều hành
HỒ LÊ HÙNG
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lý Như Hải
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Song Hải
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Hữu Phong
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Minh Sơn
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
LÊ THỊ BÍCH NGỌC
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thị Thu Hường
Kế toán trưởng
Trần Viết Khương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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