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Real Estate sector

TV6

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn EMA LAND
Bất động sảnCT
6.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.709
Current
6.500
Gap
+3.2%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
98.67%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
1.33%
=
WACC
13.50%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
14.193
60%DCF Value
1.719
Blended Intrinsic
6.709
Value Decomposition
37%
63%
Explicit period (37%)Terminal value (63%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TV6

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

0
Poor
Accrual Quality
0
Cash Conversion
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2021

6.92
High Risk
DSRI
12.592
GMI
2.574
AQI
0.000
SGI
0.434
DEPI
0.159
SGAI
1.810
TATA
-0.002
LVGI
3.874

The Beneish M-Score of 6.9219 significantly exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a high likelihood of earnings manipulation. Additionally, the earnings quality metrics reveal severe weaknesses in revenue recognition and margin quality, raising further concerns about the integrity of reported financials.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 6.9219 indicates likely earnings manipulation.
  • DSRI of 12.5921 suggests significant increases in receivables relative to sales, which may indicate aggressive revenue recognition.
  • AQI of 0.0000 and eq_receivables score of 0.0/100 highlight severe issues in earnings quality and cash conversion.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 55.3/100 indicates some level of earnings reliability, particularly in accruals and cash conversion, which are both at 99.3/100 and 100.0/100 respectively.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is highly concentrated with the top five shareholders holding a combined 48.6%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest. This concentration can also hinder minority shareholder rights.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly regarding revenue recognition practices. It may be prudent to avoid or limit exposure to TV6 until clearer signs of financial integrity emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
33.03
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.25
Positive
Composite
51
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+163.2%
Volatility
162.8%
Max Drawdown
-55.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
20.19P/E
P/B0.85
P/S19.92
ROE4.3%
ROA4.2%
EPS475.48
BVPS11354.51
Gross Margin96.7%
Net Margin98.6%
D/E0.01
Current Ratio31.49
Profit Growth574.0%
EV/EBITDA18.08
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3.0M
Charter Capital
30.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Tư Vấn, Định giá, Môi giới Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TV6 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Thị Thu Thảo
Indiv
12.3%
369.000
Vũ Phương Như
Indiv
11.5%
345.000
Kim Đăng Thành
Indiv
11.0%
330.200
Nguyễn Hồng Hải
Indiv
7.3%
200.300
Phạm Thị Thiên
Indiv
6.5%
195.000
Vũ Tiến Dũng
Indiv
5.0%
149.800
Kim Văn Hùng
Indiv
4.8%
143.400
Lê Đức Quyền
Indiv
4.7%
139.900
Mạc Phối Dinh
Indiv
4.5%
135.000
Nguyễn Đăng Mạnh
Indiv
4.0%
120.000
Phạm Thị Thanh Phượng
Indiv
2.1%
63.000
Lý Vân Nam
Indiv
2.1%
61.400
Dương Kính
Indiv
1.4%
42.000
Lê Thị Hương Dung
Indiv
1.4%
42.000
Dương Thị Thuỳ Hương
Indiv
1.4%
42.000
Dương Thị Thuỳ Linh
Indiv
1.0%
30.700
Vũ Tiến Hưng
Indiv
1.0%
30.000
Lý Minh Tâm
Indiv
0.9%
28.600
Nguyễn Đăng Mão
Indiv
0.7%
21.000
Trần Thị Kim Thu
Indiv
0.5%
15.000
Board & Management
Phùng Thị Tơ
Kế toán trưởng
Bùi Thùy Giang
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Thanh Nguyệt
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Duyên
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Đình Thắng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Hoàng Thị Hồng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Hương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Hoàng Thu Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Ngọc Hoằng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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