VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Consumer sector

SPB

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Sợi Phú Bài
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
14.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
564.141
Current
14.500
Gap
+500.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
25.55%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.63%
x
D/(D+E)
74.45%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF469.70B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
469.70B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
564.141
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SPB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

40
Weak
Accrual Quality
0
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
76
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.66
Low Risk
DSRI
0.927
GMI
0.704
AQI
2.053
SGI
1.078
DEPI
0.880
SGAI
0.961
TATA
-0.095
LVGI
0.990

The Beneish M-Score of -2.6575 indicates that SPB is not likely engaged in earnings manipulation, as it falls below the threshold of -1.78. However, the low earnings quality score of 60.5, particularly concerning revenue and margin metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of its earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 60.5/100, indicating potential issues with revenue recognition and profit margins.
  • Revenue quality metrics score of 0.0/100 suggests significant concerns regarding the reliability of reported revenues.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.6575 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Cash conversion and receivables metrics both score 100.0/100, suggesting strong cash flow management.
Ownership Risk

With institutional ownership at 82.2%, the company is less susceptible to volatility from individual investors. However, the concentration of ownership in a few institutions could lead to governance risks.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor SPB's earnings quality metrics and consider a deeper analysis of revenue recognition practices before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.41
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.39
Negative
Composite
45
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-28.9%
Volatility
170.3%
Max Drawdown
-61.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.79P/E
P/B0.74
P/S0.17
ROE8.8%
ROA2.3%
EPS1649.28
BVPS19474.27
Gross Margin10.9%
Net Margin2.0%
D/E2.91
Current Ratio1.15
Rev Growth-16.6%
Profit Growth44.7%
EV/EBITDA10.54
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
13.3M
Charter Capital
133.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SPB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Dệt May Việt Nam
Inst
60.7%
8.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Lương Thực Vật Tư Nông Nghiệp Nghệ An
Inst
15.8%
2.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Dệt May Huế
Inst
5.0%
664.890
Bùi Nguyên Tiến
Indiv
3.6%
342.287
Công ty Cổ phần Bông Việt Nam
Inst
2.7%
253.120
Trần Thị Kim Chi
Indiv
2.5%
336.001
Nguyễn Quốc Tuấn
Indiv
1.7%
84.574
nguyen-thi-hai-yen
Indiv
0.9%
118.500
Hoàng Thái Phương
Indiv
0.4%
57.803
Hoàng Thái Trúc
Indiv
0.3%
43.540
Hoàng Thị Thu Trang
Indiv
0.3%
43.354
Trần Đình Hiệp
Indiv
0.2%
31.552
Trần Quang Vinh
Indiv
0.1%
5.922
Board & Management
Bùi Nguyên Tiến3.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Kim Chi2.5%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Thái Trúc0.3%
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Trần Đình Hiệp0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Hồng Quân
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Thị Quê Hương
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Ngọc Mai Chi
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Tường Huy
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Cao Hữu Hiếu
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Hoàng Phụng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Ngọc Cách
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →