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Construction sector

ICI

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Xây dựng Công nghiệp
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
10.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
23.661
Current
10.000
Gap
+136.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
27.23%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.49%
x
D/(D+E)
72.77%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
2.660
50%DCF Value
44.662
Blended Intrinsic
23.661
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — ICI

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

51
Fair
Accrual Quality
57
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
58
Revenue Quality
52

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.79
Moderate
DSRI
0.664
GMI
1.088
AQI
1.002
SGI
1.446
DEPI
0.945
SGAI
0.867
TATA
0.112
LVGI
0.959

The Beneish M-Score of -1.7915 is slightly below the manipulation threshold, indicating potential earnings manipulation concerns. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 50.6 suggests moderate issues with cash conversion and overall earnings quality, which could raise red flags for investors.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.7915, just below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings quality cash conversion score of 0.0/100, highlighting severe issues with cash flow relative to reported earnings.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100, indicating strong management of receivables and potential for cash collection.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Xây dựng Công nghiệp Việt Nam, holds a significant 36.0% stake, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and influence over corporate governance.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and consider conducting deeper due diligence on management practices, particularly regarding earnings quality and potential manipulation risks.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.01
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.35
Positive
Composite
70
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+54.5%
Volatility
148.4%
Max Drawdown
-54.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
76.45P/E
P/B0.82
P/S0.36
ROE1.1%
ROA0.3%
EPS134.72
BVPS12504.36
Gross Margin4.3%
Net Margin0.5%
D/E2.67
Current Ratio1.24
Rev Growth44.6%
Profit Growth63.1%
EV/EBITDA57.91
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
4.0M
Charter Capital
40.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for ICI — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Xây dựng Công nghiệp Việt Nam
Inst
36.0%
1.4 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Tư Vấn Đầu Tư Và Quản Lý Vốn Minh An
Inst
10.5%
420.175
Trần Gia Hưng
Indiv
2.6%
102.179
Đinh Văn Viện
Indiv
1.9%
75.234
Đàm Xuân Vũ
Indiv
1.4%
57.547
Trần Hoàng Nguyên
Indiv
1.2%
47.645
Đỗ Phương Thinh
Indiv
1.0%
39.225
Lê Thị Thu Hương
Indiv
0.9%
36.699
Vũ Khác Đáp
Indiv
0.9%
36.027
Trương Quang Dũng
Indiv
0.7%
27.399
Trần Văn Khiên
Indiv
0.6%
24.000
Đào Ngọc Trịnh
Indiv
0.4%
15.555
Tô Ngọc Sơn
Indiv
0.2%
8.677
Mai Danh Lâm
Indiv
0.2%
8.573
Nguyễn Ngọc Cường
Indiv
0.1%
4.000
Board & Management
Trần Gia Hưng2.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Văn Viện1.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Khác Đáp0.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Cường0.1%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Thị Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đinh Viết Thường
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phan Hữu Nam
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Phạm Hùng
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Kiên Giang
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đinh Văn Tứ
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Ngô Tuyết Minh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Chí Nguyễn
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đức Vượng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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