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Construction sector

HVH

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Công nghệ HVC
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
12.150
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
2.960
Current
12.150
Gap
-75.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
73.81%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.34%
x
D/(D+E)
26.19%
=
WACC
10.67%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.53%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
5.942
50%DCF Value
-22
Blended Intrinsic
2.960
Value Decomposition
37%
63%
Explicit period (37%)Terminal value (63%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HVH

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

41
Weak
Accrual Quality
51
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
55
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-0.53
High Risk
DSRI
1.880
GMI
1.343
AQI
0.652
SGI
1.780
DEPI
1.005
SGAI
0.585
TATA
0.135
LVGI
1.906

HVH exhibits several concerning indicators of financial manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -0.527, which is well above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 40.9/100, particularly low cash conversion metrics, raises further concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -0.527 indicates potential manipulation risk, as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 40.9/100, with cash conversion at 0.0/100, suggests significant issues in converting revenues into actual cash flow.
  • High DSRI of 1.8803 indicates potential overstatement of receivables relative to sales.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100 suggests that the company has strong control over its receivables.
  • SGAI of 0.5852 indicates relatively low selling, general, and administrative expenses compared to sales, which could imply operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are primarily individuals, with the largest holding at 16.9%, which may lead to a lack of coordinated governance and potential conflicts of interest, increasing ownership risk.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow statements and receivables management before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
2.31
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.72
Positive
Composite
42
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+54.6%
Volatility
25.0%
Max Drawdown
-19.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
12.77P/E
P/B0.99
P/S0.76
ROE8.1%
ROA5.0%
EPS963.39
BVPS12452.35
Gross Margin12.1%
Net Margin6.0%
D/E0.64
Current Ratio1.71
Rev Growth78.0%
Profit Growth38.7%
EV/EBITDA10.16
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
63.5M
Charter Capital
634.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HVH — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Mỹ Dung
Indiv
16.9%
10.8 trieu
Trần Hữu Đông
Indiv
15.4%
9.8 trieu
Đỗ Huy Cường
Indiv
8.6%
5.4 trieu
Lê Văn Cường
Indiv
7.2%
4.6 trieu
Trần Đức Trung
Indiv
5.0%
3.1 trieu
Trần Thị Hải Vân
Indiv
4.9%
3.1 trieu
Nguyễn Đình Ẩn
Indiv
4.7%
3.0 trieu
Trần Văn Duy
Indiv
4.1%
799.880
Công ty Cổ phần Quản lý quỹ đầu tư chứng khoán Bản Việt
Inst
4.1%
811.830
Nguyễn Sĩ Thành
Indiv
3.0%
604.586
Trương Thanh Tùng
Indiv
1.9%
1.2 trieu
Vũ Thị Ngà
Indiv
1.9%
1.2 trieu
Vũ Danh Lam
Indiv
1.5%
297.716
Lê Thị Thu Hương
Indiv
1.2%
273.280
Tạ Thị Bảo Trâm
Indiv
0.5%
217.945
Phạm Thị Thu Trang
Indiv
0.4%
152.562
Trần Anh Đào
Indiv
0.1%
65.383
Board & Management
Trần Hữu Đông15.4%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Huy Cường8.6%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Văn Cường7.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Thanh Tùng1.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vũ Thị Ngà1.9%
Kế toán trưởng/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Đỗ Thị Lê
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đào Thị Dung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Thảo
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Haihui Liu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đào Thanh Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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