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Construction sector

NAV

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Nam Việt
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
16.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
22.133
Current
16.200
Gap
+36.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
95.22%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.21%
x
D/(D+E)
4.78%
=
WACC
11.96%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.33%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
16.705
50%DCF Value
27.561
Blended Intrinsic
22.133
Value Decomposition
42%
58%
Explicit period (42%)Terminal value (58%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NAV

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

72
Good
Accrual Quality
64
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
73
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.98
Low Risk
DSRI
0.486
GMI
1.344
AQI
1.107
SGI
1.131
DEPI
0.898
SGAI
0.873
TATA
-0.089
LVGI
0.889

The Beneish M-Score of -2.981 indicates that NAV is not likely engaging in earnings manipulation, as it falls well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the Earnings Quality Score of 72.1 suggests some concerns, particularly with revenue recognition, which scored 0.0, indicating potential issues in revenue reporting.

Red Flags
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0 indicates significant concerns regarding revenue recognition practices.
  • GMI of 1.3436 suggests increasing gross margin pressure, which could indicate potential future earnings challenges.
Positive Signals
  • Strong cash conversion score of 100.0 indicates effective cash flow management.
  • Low DSRI of 0.4858 suggests that inventory levels are well managed relative to sales, which is a positive operational indicator.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated, with the top five shareholders holding 101.3% of the shares, indicating a potential risk of governance issues and lack of minority shareholder protection.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of concentrated ownership on corporate governance. A thorough review of financial statements and operational performance is recommended before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
18.67
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.26
Negative
Composite
65
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+4.1%
Volatility
30.2%
Max Drawdown
-20.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.75P/E
P/B1.26
P/S1.08
ROE13.8%
ROA13.1%
EPS1844.67
BVPS12856.91
Gross Margin12.6%
Net Margin12.3%
D/E0.05
Current Ratio32.51
Rev Growth13.1%
Profit Growth-22.9%
EV/EBITDA15.58
Div Yield5.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
8.0M
Charter Capital
80.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NAV — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Thị Hương Ngân
Indiv
31.6%
2.5 trieu
Trần Bình Khơi
Indiv
20.1%
1.6 trieu
Tổng Công ty Xây dựng Sài Gòn
Inst
20.0%
1.6 trieu
Nguyễn Lê Phong
Indiv
20.0%
1.6 trieu
Hoàng Kiều Phong
Indiv
9.6%
764.226
Đỗ Thị Hiền Lương
Indiv
8.3%
666.540
Bùi Hải Quân
Indiv
3.9%
311.720
Nguyễn Văn Nam
Indiv
1.8%
140.000
Nguyễn Ngọc Dũng
Indiv
1.2%
93.856
Vũ Thái Hòa
Indiv
0.8%
62.180
Nguyễn Vũ Thịnh
Indiv
0.5%
41.984
Lê Hữu Thuấn
Indiv
0.4%
28.000
Lê Văn Tráng
Indiv
0.3%
27.696
Thái Thanh Thủy
Indiv
0.3%
25.600
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thị Hương Ngân31.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Kiều Phong9.6%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Tôn Nhân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Minh Triết
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Tôn Thất Mạnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Mỹ Thạnh
Kế toán trưởng
Đào Nguyên Thoại
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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