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Real Estate sector

PWA

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Bất động sản dầu khí
Bất động sảnCT
6.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
14.248
Current
6.500
Gap
+119.2%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
35.66%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
64.34%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
9.125
60%DCF Value
17.663
Blended Intrinsic
14.248
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PWA

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

28
Poor
Accrual Quality
71
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-3.81
Low Risk
DSRI
2.203
GMI
-0.848
AQI
0.438
SGI
0.576
DEPI
0.944
SGAI
3.953
TATA
-0.073
LVGI
0.995

PWA exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -3.811, which is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 27.7/100 further highlights concerns, particularly in receivables and revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.811 indicates strong likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 27.7/100, with eq_receivables and eq_revenue both at 0.0/100, suggests severe issues in revenue recognition and cash conversion.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 2.2027 indicates that the company is managing its inventory levels, although this is offset by other negative signals.
  • Ownership by Tổng công ty Đầu tư Nước và Môi trường Việt Nam at 24.9% may provide some stability due to institutional backing.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows a significant concentration with the largest shareholder holding 24.9%, which could lead to governance risks if their interests diverge from minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider further due diligence on PWA's financial practices and governance before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.17
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.89
Positive
Composite
62
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+91.2%
Volatility
81.7%
Max Drawdown
-38.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-34.97P/E
P/B1.01
P/S6.66
ROE-2.8%
ROA-1.0%
EPS-211.38
BVPS7300.27
Gross Margin5.6%
Net Margin-19.0%
D/E1.78
Current Ratio1.37
Rev Growth-42.4%
Profit Growth53.7%
EV/EBITDA-5.93
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.0M
Charter Capital
100.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PWA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng công ty Đầu tư Nước và Môi trường Việt Nam
Inst
24.9%
2.5 trieu
Lê Văn Đô
Indiv
6.7%
671.000
Huỳnh Văn Thành
Indiv
5.1%
507.700
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu Tư Phố Wall
Inst
3.6%
365.200
Lê Thị Hiền
Indiv
3.4%
341.600
Vũ Thị Hiền
Indiv
3.3%
334.100
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Dầu khí
Inst
2.1%
205.650
Board & Management
Lê Thị Hiền3.4%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Thân Thế Sơn
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thái Hoàng
Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Minh Đức
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đoàn Vũ Tiến
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Thị Lệ
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Vũ Minh Thùy
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Việt Trung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Hương Liên
Kế toán trưởng
Trần Thị Phương Hoa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Đức Hạnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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