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Construction sector

S55

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Sông Đà 505
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
66.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
66.444
Current
66.000
Gap
+0.7%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
45.33%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.65%
x
D/(D+E)
54.67%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.31%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
70.257
50%DCF Value
62.630
Blended Intrinsic
66.444
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — S55

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

55
Fair
Accrual Quality
94
Cash Conversion
64
Receivables
38
Margin Stability
3
Revenue Quality
46

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.41
High Risk
DSRI
2.706
GMI
0.550
AQI
1.123
SGI
0.625
DEPI
0.533
SGAI
1.198
TATA
0.015
LVGI
0.868

S55 exhibits several concerning indicators suggesting potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -1.4069, which is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 54.5/100 also indicates weaknesses in revenue recognition and cash conversion, raising further concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • DSRI of 2.7057 indicates significant growth in receivables relative to sales, suggesting potential revenue recognition issues.
  • AQI of 1.1228, while not excessively high, indicates some level of accruals that may not be supported by cash flows.
  • eq_receivables score of 37.9/100 highlights poor management of receivables, which could lead to future cash flow problems.
Positive Signals
  • SGI of 0.6249 suggests that sales growth is slowing, which may indicate a more sustainable growth trajectory moving forward.
  • The institution's ownership by Công ty Cổ phần Anza at 75.0% indicates a strong commitment from a major stakeholder, which could provide stability.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by Công ty Cổ phần Anza (75.0%) poses a risk of governance issues, as minority shareholders may have limited influence over corporate decisions. However, institutional ownership can also imply a level of oversight.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor S55's earnings quality and cash flow metrics, particularly focusing on receivables management. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach, potentially waiting for improved transparency and earnings sustainability before making significant investments.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.90
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.27
Positive
Composite
48
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.9%
Volatility
54.8%
Max Drawdown
-25.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
5.55P/E
P/B0.80
P/S1.80
ROE15.3%
ROA5.7%
EPS11843.03
BVPS82583.22
Gross Margin53.2%
Net Margin32.5%
D/E0.90
Current Ratio1.06
Rev Growth-37.5%
Profit Growth10.0%
EV/EBITDA6.10
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.0M
Charter Capital
100.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for S55 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Anza
Inst
75.0%
7.5 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Sơn
Indiv
5.0%
498.000
Công ty Tài chính Tổng hợp Cổ phần Điện Lực
Inst
5.0%
247.600
Đặng Văn Tuyển
Indiv
4.7%
472.560
Đặng Tất Thành
Indiv
3.6%
365.300
Đặng Thùy Dương
Indiv
3.0%
300.000
Hoàng Huyền Trang
Indiv
2.1%
214.800
Trần Thái Bình
Indiv
2.1%
205.500
Đặng Ngọc Nhung
Indiv
1.8%
180.360
Nguyễn Ngọc Anh
Indiv
1.4%
141.544
Lê Văn Phúc
Indiv
0.9%
86.020
Board & Management
Đặng Tất Thành3.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đình Phương
Phó Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh Thị Mỹ Hạnh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Đặng Quang Đạt
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Lê Văn Khánh
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đức Mỹ
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Tống Thị Thu Hiền
Kế toán trưởng
Đinh Thị Trang Nhung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Sơn Thủy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Computed 12/04/2026
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