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Consumer sector

QNU

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Môi trường Đô thị Quảng Nam
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhCT
10.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
10.211
Current
10.000
Gap
+2.1%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.50%
Ke
11.50%
x
E/(D+E)
81.93%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.95%
x
D/(D+E)
18.07%
=
WACC
10.68%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.27%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF3.85B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
3.85B
Growth Rate
3.27%
WACC
10.68%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
10.211
Value Decomposition
46%
54%
Explicit period (46%)Terminal value (54%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — QNU

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

96
Good
Accrual Quality
95
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
79

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2019

-2.02
Moderate
DSRI
1.578
GMI
0.997
AQI
0.491
SGI
1.068
DEPI
1.056
SGAI
1.045
TATA
0.035
LVGI
1.260

The Beneish M-Score of -2.0187 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, but several components raise concerns about earnings quality. The earnings quality score of 57.5 suggests moderate issues, particularly in cash conversion, which is at 0.0, signaling potential liquidity risks.

Red Flags
  • DSRI at 1.5784 indicates a significant increase in receivables relative to sales, suggesting potential revenue recognition issues.
  • Earnings quality cash conversion score of 0.0/100 raises concerns about the company's ability to convert earnings into actual cash flow.
Positive Signals
  • The GMI of 0.9974 is below 1, indicating a lower likelihood of financial distress.
  • Top shareholder Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Quảng Nam holds 61.5%, providing a level of stability and potential government support.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by the state (61.5%) may mitigate some risks associated with management practices, but it also raises concerns about potential political influence and lack of minority shareholder protections.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow performance and receivables management, while considering a cautious approach due to the elevated risk indicators. Engaging with management on their strategies to improve cash conversion and earnings quality is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
4.18
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.68
Positive
Composite
63
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.0%
Volatility
9.6%
Max Drawdown
0.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
23.27P/E
P/B0.72
P/S0.41
ROE3.4%
ROA2.8%
EPS477.41
BVPS13978.24
Gross Margin13.7%
Net Margin2.0%
D/E0.23
Current Ratio5.55
Rev Growth3.5%
Profit Growth5.0%
EV/EBITDA8.61
Div Yield4.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.8M
Charter Capital
68.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Chất thải & Môi trường
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for QNU — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Quảng Nam
State
61.5%
4.2 trieu
Chung Thành Đông
Indiv
8.8%
600.000
Công Ty TNHH Trường Gia An
Inst
7.4%
505.000
Phạm Nam Thái
Indiv
3.0%
206.000
Trần Đình Được
Indiv
1.6%
105.100
Đoàn Kim Thịnh
Indiv
1.5%
104.300
nguyen-thanh-thao
Indiv
0.8%
56.000
nguyen-thanh-dung
Indiv
0.8%
56.000
Nguyễn Thị Trúc Uyên
Indiv
0.3%
21.300
Đỗ Xuân Thiện
Indiv
0.2%
11.400
Chung Hoàng Kính
Indiv
0.2%
11.100
Phạm Thị Kim Loan
Indiv
0.1%
8.500
Board & Management
Chung Thành Đông8.8%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Nam Thái3.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Đình Được1.6%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Kế toán trưởng
Đoàn Kim Thịnh1.5%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thanh Dũng0.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Thị Kim Loan0.1%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Đăng Hải
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Võ Thị Nga
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đỗ Xuân Đức
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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