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Consumer sector

HUG

Consumer
Tổng công ty May Hưng Yên - Công ty Cổ phần
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
31.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
21.809
Current
31.400
Gap
-30.5%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
45.62%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.12%
x
D/(D+E)
54.38%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend6.07%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF21.08B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
21.08B
Growth Rate
6.07%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
21.809
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HUG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

68
Fair
Accrual Quality
82
Cash Conversion
51
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.47
Moderate
DSRI
0.680
GMI
1.016
AQI
0.747
SGI
1.164
DEPI
1.128
SGAI
0.915
TATA
0.045
LVGI
0.962

HUG exhibits several concerning indicators that suggest potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.4683, which is below the manipulation threshold. However, the earnings quality score of 68.2 indicates a relatively solid performance in certain areas, particularly in receivables and margins.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.4683 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality score of 0.0/100 for revenue suggests serious issues in revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Strong receivables score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of receivables.
  • High margin score of 100.0/100 reflects robust profitability in operations.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Tập đoàn Dệt May Việt Nam, holds a significant 35.0% stake, which may lead to concentrated control and potential conflicts of interest. This ownership structure could pose risks to minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly regarding revenue recognition practices. Monitoring future earnings reports and management disclosures will be crucial to assess the sustainability of HUG's financial health.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.08
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.21
Negative
Composite
39
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-17.4%
Volatility
40.5%
Max Drawdown
-24.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.42P/E
P/B1.95
P/S0.77
ROE27.8%
ROA13.0%
EPS4215.53
BVPS16087.24
Gross Margin23.1%
Net Margin10.4%
D/E1.10
Current Ratio1.32
Rev Growth16.4%
Profit Growth28.1%
EV/EBITDA7.08
Div Yield3.2%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
19.5M
Charter Capital
195.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HUG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Dệt May Việt Nam
Inst
35.0%
6.8 trieu
Phạm Tuấn Anh
Indiv
8.8%
1.7 trieu
nguyen-xuan-duong
Indiv
3.1%
615.466
Nguyễn Thị Hiên
Indiv
1.2%
227.049
Nguyễn Văn Trung
Indiv
1.1%
224.893
Phạm Thị Lan Hương
Indiv
1.1%
224.095
Phạm Thị Phương Hoa
Indiv
1.0%
188.592
Vũ Thị Thanh Tươi
Indiv
0.8%
148.226
nguyen-huy-hoang
Indiv
0.7%
144.000
nguyen-quang-duy
Indiv
0.7%
144.000
Phạm Thị Thanh Tuyết
Indiv
0.7%
138.240
Tạ Minh Tân
Indiv
0.7%
92.805
Tống Thị Hoa
Indiv
0.6%
77.336
Tống Thị Huệ
Indiv
0.6%
77.336
Phạm Văn Thức
Indiv
0.6%
76.336
Nguyễn Thị Him
Indiv
0.6%
110.169
Đỗ Văn Thuần
Indiv
0.5%
62.234
Trần Thị Yến
Indiv
0.4%
88.354
Phạm Thị Mai Phương
Indiv
0.4%
85.155
Bùi Thị Lý
Indiv
0.4%
83.154
Phạm Quang Anh
Indiv
0.4%
83.672
Phạm Thị Phương Mai
Indiv
0.4%
79.642
Phạm Quang Hiến
Indiv
0.4%
50.886
Lương Thị Hữu
Indiv
0.3%
42.738
Phạm Anh Đông
Indiv
0.3%
62.953
Trần Thị Chuyên
Indiv
0.3%
58.809
Phạm Hữu Lợi
Indiv
0.3%
57.024
Chu Hữu Nghị
Indiv
0.2%
47.444
nguyen-thanh-huyen
Indiv
0.2%
43.977
Hoàng Xuân Nam
Indiv
0.2%
43.200
Trần Văn Chính
Indiv
0.2%
43.448
Nguyễn Việt Hoàng
Indiv
0.2%
40.024
Nguyễn Thị Hà
Indiv
0.2%
40.641
Phạm Đức Anh
Indiv
0.2%
39.187
Nguyễn Minh Quân
Indiv
0.2%
39.432
Hoàng Thị Hương
Indiv
0.2%
26.205
Trương Thị Phương
Indiv
0.1%
28.867
Đinh Thị Thu Hường
Indiv
0.1%
27.652
Vũ Thị Giáng Hương
Indiv
0.1%
27.360
Nguyễn Văn Hòa
Indiv
0.1%
27.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Xuân Dương3.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Trung1.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Thị Phương Hoa1.0%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Thị Lý0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Chu Hữu Nghị0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Xuân Nam0.2%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đinh Thị Thu Hường0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Hường
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Nguyễn Văn Hải
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Nguyên Hạnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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