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Construction sector

VCC

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Vinaconex 25
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
10.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
608
Current
10.600
Gap
-94.3%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
21.17%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.61%
x
D/(D+E)
78.83%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.08%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
5.759
50%DCF Value
-4.542
Blended Intrinsic
608
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VCC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

45
Weak
Accrual Quality
89
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
16
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.14
Moderate
DSRI
0.604
GMI
1.080
AQI
0.881
SGI
1.534
DEPI
1.607
SGAI
0.799
TATA
0.028
LVGI
1.013

VCC exhibits several concerning indicators that suggest potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.1442, which is below the manipulation threshold. The earnings quality score of 44.5/100 further highlights weaknesses in cash conversion and revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.1442 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality score of 44.5/100 reflects significant issues, particularly with cash conversion at 0.0/100 and revenue recognition at 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.6036 suggests that accounts receivable are growing slower than sales, which is typically a positive indicator.
  • High receivables score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Xuất nhập khẩu và Xây dựng Việt Nam at 71.1% suggests a lack of diversity in shareholder interests, which could lead to governance issues and reduced accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor VCC's financial disclosures for signs of manipulation. It may be prudent to wait for improved earnings quality metrics before considering an investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.58
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.09
Positive
Composite
30
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+3.3%
Volatility
56.4%
Max Drawdown
-16.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.58P/E
P/B0.81
P/S0.15
ROE8.8%
ROA1.9%
EPS1043.36
BVPS12338.09
Gross Margin8.8%
Net Margin1.5%
D/E3.77
Current Ratio1.21
Rev Growth53.4%
Profit Growth235.0%
EV/EBITDA9.00
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
24.0M
Charter Capital
240.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VCC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Xuất nhập khẩu và Xây dựng Việt Nam
Inst
71.1%
17.1 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Trung
Indiv
2.0%
470.000
Vương Công San
Indiv
1.8%
106.079
Trịnh Văn Thật
Indiv
1.8%
211.620
Phan Thu Thủy
Indiv
1.3%
300.000
Trương Văn Đức
Indiv
0.7%
167.000
Nguyễn Tâm
Indiv
0.7%
40.000
Đỗ Ngọc Hải
Indiv
0.6%
138.000
nguyen-dinh-thieu
Indiv
0.4%
53.760
nguyen-thanh-hai
Indiv
0.4%
50.091
Lê Thị Thanh Thảo
Indiv
0.4%
100.000
Nguyễn Xuân Nhàn
Indiv
0.3%
77.135
Đặng Thanh Huấn
Indiv
0.3%
35.000
Nguyễn Đình Huấn
Indiv
0.3%
34.806
Hồ Thanh Liêm
Indiv
0.3%
15.100
Hoàng Trọng Thành
Indiv
0.2%
13.500
Nguyễn Đức Quang Thông
Indiv
0.1%
26.400
Hoàng Hợp Thương
Indiv
0.1%
6.500
PHẠM BÁ TRUNG
Indiv
0.1%
6.200
Board & Management
Nguyễn Văn Trung2.0%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Trương Văn Đức0.7%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đỗ Ngọc Hải0.6%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đình Thiệu0.4%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Thị Thanh Thảo0.4%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Xuân Nhàn0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đức Quang Thông0.1%
Kế toán trưởng
Bùi Phước Hùng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Kim Oanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Văn Mạnh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Khắc Hải
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đinh Việt Tùng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lại Đức Toàn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Xuân Đông
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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