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Consumer sector

LBE

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Thương mại và Dịch vụ LVA
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
35.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
23.567
Current
35.000
Gap
-32.7%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
82.54%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.17%
x
D/(D+E)
17.46%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF3.29B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
3.29B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
23.567
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — LBE

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

14
Poor
Accrual Quality
29
Cash Conversion
14
Receivables
15
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

11.12
High Risk
DSRI
15.066
GMI
0.951
AQI
3.289
SGI
1.171
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
0.936
TATA
0.129
LVGI
3.715

LBE exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of 11.1224, well above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The company's earnings quality score of 22.8/100 further highlights severe issues, particularly in cash conversion and revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 11.1224 indicates likely earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 22.8/100 suggests poor earnings quality, especially with eq_cash_conv and eq_revenue both at 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • SGI of 1.1708 indicates potential revenue growth, although it should be viewed cautiously given the other metrics.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily influenced by state ownership (22.9%), which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and lack of transparency. The significant stakes held by individual shareholders also raise concerns about governance and decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should approach LBE with caution, considering the high risk of earnings manipulation. It is advisable to monitor further disclosures and financial performance closely before making any investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
9.19
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.12
Positive
Composite
33
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+18.8%
Volatility
63.7%
Max Drawdown
-27.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
4.72P/E
P/B1.50
P/S0.69
ROE44.0%
ROA33.3%
EPS6140.78
BVPS19312.48
Gross Margin74.3%
Net Margin14.5%
D/E0.21
Current Ratio4.14
Rev Growth22.6%
Profit Growth557.8%
EV/EBITDA3.07
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3.1M
Charter Capital
31.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng cá nhân
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for LBE — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Đầu Tư Và Kinh Doanh Vốn Nhà Nước
State
22.9%
252.000
Dương Vinh Quang
Indiv
19.4%
600.000
Đường Quang Huấn
Indiv
18.6%
575.066
nguyen-thi-mai-lan
Indiv
10.8%
119.400
Bùi Quốc Hưng
Indiv
9.3%
289.700
Lê Vân Anh
Indiv
8.8%
272.300
Đào Thị Kim Oanh
Indiv
7.3%
226.100
Trương Thanh Minh
Indiv
7.2%
222.827
Nguyễn Hoàng Yến Nhi
Indiv
6.8%
212.000
Công ty Cổ phần Phước Hòa.
6.1%
884.800
Bùi Hữu Quỳnh
Indiv
5.6%
803.400
nguyen-thanh-thao
Indiv
5.0%
154.000
Trần Thị Bưởi
Indiv
4.9%
54.200
Nguyễn Nhật Minh Triều
Indiv
3.5%
38.800
Đặng Thúy Hoan
Indiv
3.4%
36.900
Bùi Hữu Vũ Hoàng
Indiv
3.1%
440.300
Phạm Văn Duy
Indiv
2.3%
25.000
Lê Phước
Indiv
2.0%
21.525
Bùi Thị Vân Anh
Indiv
1.8%
55.700
Lê Thị Ánh Phương
Indiv
1.0%
10.920
Nguyễn Thị Nhìn
Indiv
0.6%
6.300
Lê Nguyệt Xuân
Indiv
0.4%
4.200
Board & Management
Nguyễn Hoàng Yến Nhi6.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Ánh Phương1.0%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Trần Việt Thắng
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Ngôi
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Đặng Trung Trực
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Trần Minh Đức
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Văn Huỳnh
Phó Giám đốc
Trần Thị Thúy Linh
Kế toán trưởng
Ngô Văn Minh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thị Minh Trang
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Phúc Đức
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Thành Lâm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Phương Mai
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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