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Construction sector

QSP

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Tân cảng Quy Nhơn
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
25.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
28.375
Current
25.300
Gap
+12.2%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
96.73%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.26%
x
D/(D+E)
3.27%
=
WACC
12.04%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
22.301
50%DCF Value
34.448
Blended Intrinsic
28.375
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — QSP

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

86
Good
Accrual Quality
99
Cash Conversion
78
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
44

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

0.10
High Risk
DSRI
1.496
GMI
1.010
AQI
6.102
SGI
1.057
DEPI
0.930
SGAI
1.002
TATA
0.004
LVGI
0.996

The Beneish M-Score of 0.1033 indicates a potential risk of earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78. While the earnings quality score is relatively high at 85.7/100, the low revenue quality score of 43.7/100 raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 0.1033 suggests potential earnings manipulation risk.
  • Revenue quality score of 43.7/100 indicates significant concerns about revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings quality score of 85.7/100 reflects strong overall earnings quality.
  • Accruals score of 98.5/100 indicates high-quality earnings with low levels of accruals.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Công ty Cổ phần Cảng Quy Nhơn, holds a significant 16.7% stake, which may influence corporate governance and decision-making. However, the presence of multiple individual shareholders with smaller stakes suggests a diversified ownership structure.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider conducting further due diligence on the company's financial reporting. A cautious approach is advised given the elevated risk of earnings manipulation.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
22.58
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.02
Negative
Composite
68
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+7.2%
Volatility
39.5%
Max Drawdown
-22.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
8.34P/E
P/B1.28
P/S6.07
ROE16.2%
ROA15.7%
EPS3090.43
BVPS19590.34
Gross Margin83.9%
Net Margin75.0%
D/E0.03
Current Ratio13.02
Rev Growth5.7%
Profit Growth3.6%
EV/EBITDA6.58
Div Yield8.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.8M
Charter Capital
107.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Kho bãi, hậu cần và bảo dưỡng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for QSP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Cảng Quy Nhơn
Inst
16.7%
1.8 trieu
Lâm Thị Vĩnh Tuyết
Indiv
2.2%
240.933
Nguyễn Hữu Phúc
Indiv
1.1%
113.105
Ngô Thị Hạnh
Indiv
0.9%
100.000
Nguyễn Thị Bích Phượng
Indiv
0.9%
100.000
Nguyễn Tín Dân
Indiv
0.9%
100.000
nguyen-tien-dung
Indiv
0.2%
20.000
Trịnh Xuân Sơn
Indiv
0.2%
18.769
Board & Management
Nguyễn Hữu Phúc1.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Tín Dân0.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh Xuân Sơn0.2%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Văn Thành
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Mai Quang Cường
Kế toán trưởng
Trần Hữu Hiếu
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Kim Toàn
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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